Possibilities and limitations of anticipatory action in complex crises
Acting in advance of flooding in South Sudan
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 3898517 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Evan Easton‐calabria (0000-0001-9417-181X, Feinstein International Center/Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy Tufts University Boston USA, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2025 |
| Volume | 49 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | e12654-e12654 |
| Publication date | 2025-01-01 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Disasters (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0361-3666 • E-ISSN: 1467-7717 |
| Publisher | Wiley (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1111/disa.12654 |
| PMID | 39229769 |
| OpenAlex | W4402235791 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 2 |
| References cited | 15 |
Little evidence exists on the design and implementation of anticipatory action (AA) in complex crises. This article examines a 2022 United Nations 'early action' pilot in South Sudan in advance of extreme flooding. As a case study of efforts to act in a complex crisis, it contributes to learning on assisting conflict-affected and displaced populations in advance of extreme weather events. The research points towards the possibility and value of implementing forecast-informed early action in complex contexts with limited forecast skills and multiple hazards when trigger-based AA is not possible. It also argues for the need to link AA implemented in complex crises to development and peacebuilding actors and processes. More broadly, examining the perceptions and processes of AA in the form of early action, rather than a formal AA framework, is highly relevant for the AA community as attention is increasingly placed on providing AA in countries affected by fragility and conflict
Action (physics · Damages · Development economics · Economics · Flooding (psychology · Peacebuilding · Political science · Public relations · Disaster Management and Resilience · Law · Peacebuilding and International Security · Psychology · Public Administration · Transboundary Water Resource Management
Religion, Governance, and the ‘Peace–Humanitarian–Development Nexus’ in South Sudan
What was known
Managing multiple hazards
Rising from the Depths
Beyond the forecast
Where are the development actors in protracted crises? Refugee livelihood and food security outcomes in South Sudan demonstrate the potential for fragile settings
Is Temperature Exogenous? The Impact of Civil Conflict on the Instrumental Climate Record in Sub‐Saharan Africa
Gap or prehistoric monster? A history of the humanitarian-development nexus at Unicef
The effectiveness of forecast-based humanitarian assistance in anticipation of extreme winters
| Citations per year | 2 |
|---|---|
| Citation span | 2025 - 2025 (1) |
| Highly cited | No |