Local ethno-political polarization and election violence in majoritarian vs. proportional systems
Datos Bibliográficos
| ID | 3917008 |
|---|---|
| Autores | Carl Müller-Crepon (0000-0001-8536-7861, Department of Politics and International Relations, University of Oxford & St Hilda’s College, autor de correspondencia) |
| Año | 2022 |
| Volumen | 59 |
| Número | 2 |
| Páginas | 242-258 |
| Fecha de publicación | 2022-03-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Sí |
| Open Access | Sí |
| Tipo | ARTICLE |
| Revista | Journal of Peace Research (JOURNAL) |
| Identificadores de la revista | ISSN: 0022-3433 • E-ISSN: 1460-3578 |
| Editorial | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/0022343320973724 |
| PMID | 35370306 |
| OpenAlex | W3157030432 |
| Idioma | EN |
| Citas recibidas | 14 |
| Referencias citadas | 76 |
How does local ethnic demography affect the conduct of majoritarian elections? Because legislative elections in majoritarian systems are contested locally, local ethno-political polarization increases the risk of pre-election violence. In districts that are polarized between politically competing ethnic groups, violence can be targeted with comparative ease at opposing voters, and can, if perpetrated collectively, mobilize the perpetrators' co-ethnics. I do not expect such dynamics in PR systems where political competition plays out at higher geographical levels. To test this argument, I combine new data on the ethnic composition of local populations in 22 African countries with monthly data on riots and survey data on campaign violence. Ethno-politically polarized districts in majoritarian and mixed electoral systems see substantively larger increases in the number of riots prior to legislative elections and more fear of pre-election violence among citizens than non-polarized districts in the same country and at the same time. I do not find these patterns in PR systems. The results enhance our understanding of how electoral systems interact with local ethnic demography in shaping pre-election violence
Argument (complex analysis) · Criminology · Ethnic group · Ethnic violence · General election · Legislature · Local election · Polarization (electrochemistry) · Political economy · Political science · Political violence · Politics · Primary election · Sociology · Survey data collection · Culture, Economy, and Development Studies · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Medicine · Political Conflict and Governance
It’s Us against Them”
Trials and Triangulations
Military capacity and state-perpetrated killings during internal conflicts
Chiefs and Pre-Election Violence in Sub-Saharan Africa
Controlling Territory, Controlling Voters
Contentious cities? Urban growth and electoral violence in Africa
Ethnic Accommodation and the Backlash From Dominant Groups
Nationalism and Ethnic Mobilization
The Effects of Exposure to New Electoral Rules
Voter Intimidation as a Tool of Mobilization or Demobilization? Evidence from West Bengal, India
Political violence and anti-system voting in interwar Italy
Polls of fear? Electoral violence, incumbent strength, and voter turnout in Côte d'Ivoire
Engineered non-contestation
Beyond economic development? Foreign direct investment and pre-election violence
Seats, Votes, and the Spatial Organization of Elections
Multi-party Politics in Kenya (Eastern African Studies)
Power-Sharing in South Africa
Electoral Systems and Party Systems
Comparative Constitutional Engineering
Ethnic Polarization, Potential Conflict, and Civil Wars
Using luminosity data as a proxy for economic statistics
GMM estimation with cross sectional dependence
New Tools in Comparative Political Economy
Why Ethnic Parties Succeed
Votes and Violence
On the Measurement of Polarization
Closeness, Expenditures, and Turnout in the 1982 U.S. House Elections
The Production of Hindu-Muslim Violence in Contemporary India
The Deadly Ethnic Riot
Greed and grievance in civil war
A Democratic South Africa
Ethnic Composition and Electoral System Design
Voting intentions in Africa
The Choice for Proportional Representation
Presidents vs. Parliaments
Politically Relevant Ethnic Groups across Space and Time
Triggers and Characteristics of the 2007 Kenyan Electoral Violence
Social Conflict in Africa
Ethnic diversity and economic development
Violence, bribery, and fraud
Elections and Social Conflict in Africa, 1990–2009
Divide and Rule
Votes and Violence
Ethnic groups in conflict
Which Elections Can Be Lost
Back to the Future
The Production of Hindu-Muslim Violence in Contemporary India
Integrating Data on Ethnicity, Geography, and Conflict
Sensitivity Analysis of Empirical Results on Civil War Onset
Electing Displacement
Fighting your friends? A study of intra-party violence in sub-Saharan Africa
Ethnicity and party preference in sub-Saharan Africa
Fighting for a name on the ballot
Candidate nomination, intra-party democracy, and election violence in Africa
Who’s Asking? Interviewer Coethnicity Effects in African Survey Data
Electoral Systems and Electoral Misconduct
The Geographic Distribution of Political Preferences
The Achilles Heel of Plurality Systems
Space Matters
Measuring Ethnic Voting
Electoral Institutions, Cleavage Structures, and the Number of Parties
A Closer Look at Reporting Bias in Conflict Event Data
Ethnic Heterogeneity, District Magnitude, and the Number of Parties
When Do Governments Resort to Election Violence
Systematic Measurement Error in Election Violence Data
Electoral Institutions and Electoral Violence in Sub-Saharan Africa
Political Competition and Ethnic Identification in Africa
Does electoral violence affect vote choice and willingness to vote? Conjoint analysis of a vignette experiment
Incentives to cultivate a personal vote
Perils of pluralism
Vote buying and violence in Nigerian election campaigns
Electoral Violence in Conflict-Ridden Societies
Electoral violence
Intimidating voters with violence and mobilizing them with clientelism
Electoral contention and violence (Ecav)
Pre-election violence and territorial control
Elections and civil violence in new multiparty regimes
Rules That Matter
New spatial data on ethnicity
Introducing Acled
Winning the Local Vote
Equilibria in Campaign Spending Games
Crossing the Line
The Political Violence Cycle
Electoral Institutions, Ethnopolitical Cleavages, and Party Systems in Africa's Emerging Democracies
Voting in Kenya
Ethnic Clashes' and Winning Elections
The Contradictions of Pre-election Violence
| Obras citantes distintas | 14 |
|---|---|
| Citas por año | 4,67 |
| Intervalo de citas | 2023 - 2026 (4) |
| Velocidad de citación | current |
| Altamente citado | No |
| Tipos de cita | Neutras: 14 |