New democracies and the risk of civil conflict
The lasting legacy of military rule
Datos Bibliográficos
| ID | 3917331 |
|---|---|
| Autores | Scott J Cook (0000-0003-0869-5137, Texas A&M University, autor de correspondencia), Burcu Savun (0000-0001-5932-0592, University of Pittsburgh) |
| Año | 2016 |
| Volumen | 53 |
| Número | 6 |
| Páginas | 745-757 |
| Fecha de publicación | 2016-11-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Sí |
| Open Access | Sí |
| Tipo | ARTICLE |
| Revista | Journal of Peace Research (JOURNAL) |
| Identificadores de la revista | ISSN: 0022-3433 • E-ISSN: 1460-3578 |
| Editorial | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/0022343316660756 |
| OpenAlex | W2555559755 |
| Idioma | EN |
| Citas recibidas | 12 |
| Referencias citadas | 68 |
Existing theories of regime transitions suggest that new democracies are more prone to political violence than consolidated democracies. We contend that this risk varies based on the political legacy of the new regime. Specifically, we argue that the prior authoritarian regime influences the risk of conflict in new democracies by shaping the nature of the post-transition political environment. In democracies following military rule, the former autocratic leadership often remains an active political force in the new regime. The continued presence of a materially powerful opposition creates a division in the new regime, increasing the risk of conflict by: (i) complicating efforts to consolidate democratic rule and (ii) signaling potential political opportunity to would-be rebels. In line with our argument, we find that only those new democracies emerging from military rule are more likely to experience civil conflict compared with consolidated democracies. These findings have implications for democracy promotion and conflict prevention efforts, suggesting that democratization is not always associated with an increased short-term risk of conflict as is currently assumed
Authoritarianism · Autocracy · Civil Conflict · Democracy · Democracy promotion · Democratization · Development economics · Economic system · Economics · Opposition (politics) · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Regime change · Sociology · Corruption and Economic Development · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Political Conflict and Governance
Impact of democracy on economic, human, and societal development
Voluntary Association Involvement and Political Participation in South Korea
Not All Elections Are Created Equal
External Territorial Threats and Military Regimes
Previous Military Rule and Democratic Survival
Resilient to violence? One plus four hypotheses on the effect of democracy on domestic conflict
Give them toys? Military allocations and regime stability in transitional democracies
Above politics? Ex-military leaders in Nigerian electoral politics
Identifying Patterns in the Structural Drivers of Intrastate Conflict
Military Aid, Regime Vulnerability and the Escalation of Political Violence
Electoral violence and the legacy of authoritarian rule in Kenya and Zambia
Armed and dangerous
Political Order in Changing Societies
Democracy and Democratization
The Politics of Authoritarian Rule
Democracy, Credibility, and Clientelism
Essay
From Voting to Violence
States and Power in Africa: Comparative Lessons in Authority and Control
States and opportunities
Conceptual origins, current problems, future direction
CHAPTER Five Commitment Problems and the Spread of Ethnic Conflict
Institutions and Social Order
Dictators and Dictatorships
Electing to Fight
Problems of Democratic Transition and Consolidation
Coercion, Co-optation, or Cooperation
Explaining Interstate Conflict and War
Democratization and the Danger of War
Democratization and the Danger of War
Democracy and dictatorship revisited
Democracy under the Gun Understanding Postconflict Economic Recovery
Variation in Institutional Strength
Taking Time Seriously
Back to the Future
How Robust Standard Errors Expose Methodological Problems They Do Not Fix, and What to Do About It
Autocratic Breakdown and Regime Transitions
Why We Need a New Theory of Government
Bringing the military back in
The End of the Transition Paradigm
The Effect of Political Regime on Civil War
Ethnicity, Political Systems, and Civil Wars
Sensitivity Analysis of Empirical Results on Civil War Onset
Contracting on Violence
Contagion or Confusion? Why Conflicts Cluster in Space
Rationalist explanations for war
War as a Commitment Problem
Democratic Transitions, Institutional Strength, and War
Dilemmas of Democratization in Latin America
Military Autonomy and Emerging Democracies in South America
The Prospects for Democratic Consolidation in a "Least Likely" Case
Elections and Ethnic Civil War
Military Rule
Toward a New Political Methodology
What Do We Know About Democratization After Twenty Years
Civil-Military Relations
How Foreign Aid Can Foster Democratization in Authoritarian Regimes
The Enemy Within
Clientelism, Credibility, and the Policy Choices of Young Democracies
Structural Opportunity and Perceived Opportunity in Social-Movement Theory
Armed Conflicts, 1946-2011
Political opportunity structures, democracy, and civil war
Relative Capability and Rebel Objective in Civil War
Organized violence, 1989-2015
Democracy and armed conflict
Democratization and civil war
Armed Conflict 1946-2001
State Repression and the Tyrannical Peace
Toward a Democratic Civil Peace? Democracy, Political Change, and Civil War, 1816-1992
Authoritarian Reversals and Democratic Consolidation
The Conditions of Protest Behavior in American Cities
Ethnicity, Insurgency, and Civil War
Democracy in Latin America
Political Process and the Development of Black Insurgency, 1930-1970
| Obras citantes distintas | 12 |
|---|---|
| Citas por año | 1,5 |
| Intervalo de citas | 2018 - 2026 (9) |
| Velocidad de citación | current |
| Altamente citado | No |
| Tipos de cita | Neutras: 12 |