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Can states buy peace? Social welfare spending and civil conflicts

Bibliographic Data

ID3917609
AuthorsZeynep Taydas (0009-0002-2290-7837, Clemson University), Dursun Peksen (0000-0002-4305-7360, University of Memphis)
Year2012
Volume49
Issue2
Pages273-287
Publication date2012-03-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Peace Research (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-3433 • E-ISSN: 1460-3578
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0022343311431286
OpenAlexW1985473531
LanguageEN
Citations received86
References cited73

This study examines whether the state's ability to provide social welfare services has any major effect on the probability of civil conflict onset. We argue that welfare spending contributes to sustaining peace because the provision of social services reduces grievances by offsetting the effects of poverty and inequality in society. Welfare spending serves as an indication of the commitment of the government to social services and reflects its priorities and dedication to citizens. By enacting welfare policies that improve the living standards of citizens, governments can co-opt the political opposition and decrease the incentives for organizing a rebellion. Utilizing time-series, cross-national data for the 1975-2005 period, the results indicate that as the level of the government investment in welfare policies (i.e. education, health, and social security) increases, the likelihood of civil conflict onset declines significantly, controlling for several other covariates of internal conflict. Additional data analysis shows that general public spending and military expenditures are unlikely to increase or decrease the probability of civil unrest. Overall, these findings suggest that certain types of public spending, such as welfare spending, might have a strong pacifying effect on civil conflict, and therefore the state's welfare efforts are vital for the maintenance of peace

Economic growth · Economics · Government (linguistics) · Government spending · Incentive · Market economy · Opposition (politics) · Political science · Politics · Poverty · Public economics · Social security · Social Welfare · Unrest · Welfare · Welfare state · International Development and Aid · Law · Political Conflict and Governance · Religion, Society, and Development

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Unique citing works86
Citations per year6,14
Citation span2012 - 2026 (15)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 86
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