Climate change and the institutional resilience of international river basins
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 3917643 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Lucia De Stefano (0000-0002-9612-7051, Oregon State University, corresponding author), James Duncan (0000-0002-1519-3904, Oregon State University), Shlomi Dinar (0000-0002-2198-7612, Florida International University), Kerstin Stahl (0000-0002-2159-9441, University of Freiburg), Kenneth M Strzepek (University of Colorado Boulder), Kenneth Strzepek (0000-0002-2677-2581, University of Colorado System), Aaron T Wolf (0000-0003-0092-1873, Oregon State University) |
| Year | 2012 |
| Volume | 49 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 193-209 |
| Publication date | 2012-01-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Peace Research (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-3433 • E-ISSN: 1460-3578 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/0022343311427416 |
| OpenAlex | W1980821385 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 45 |
| References cited | 38 |
In the existing 276 international river basins, the increase in water variability projected by most climate change scenarios may present serious challenges to riparian states. This research maps the institutional resilience to water variability in transboundary basins and combines it with both historic and projected variability regimes, with the objective of identifying areas at potential risk of future hydropolitical tension. To do so, it combs existing international treaties for sources of institutional resilience and considers the coefficient of variation of runoff as a measure of past and future water variability. The study finds significant gaps in both the number of people and area covered by institutional stipulations to deal with variability in South America and Asia. At present, high potential risk for hydropolitical tensions associated with water variability is identified in 24 transboundary basins and seems to be concentrated mainly in northern and sub-Saharan Africa. By 2050, areas at greatest potential risk are more spatially dispersed and can be found in 61 international basins, and some of the potentially large impacts of climate change are projected to occur away from those areas currently under scrutiny. Understanding when and where to target capacity-building in transboundary river basins for greater resilience to change is critical. This study represents a step toward facilitating these efforts and informing further qualitative and quantitative research into the relationship between climate change, hydrological variability regimes, and institutional capacity for accommodating variability
Cartography · Climate change · Climate resilience · Drainage basin · Environmental resource management · Geography · Hydrology (agriculture) · Physical geography · Political science · Psychological resilience · Resilience (materials science) · Riparian zone · Scrutiny · Surface runoff · Ecology · Environmental Science · Flood Risk Assessment and Management · Geology · Transboundary Water Resource Management · Water resources management and optimization
Inherent and Contemporary Challenges to African Security
Discourse inertia and the governance of transboundary rivers in Asia
Disentangling the Climate-conflict Nexus
Cooperative and adaptive transboundary water governance in Canada's Mackenzie River Basin
Biophysical, Socioeconomic, and Geopolitical Vulnerabilities to Hydropower Development on the Nu River, China
Climate Change and Water Variability
Climate Change, Security Risks, and Violent Conflicts
Management of Transboundary Water Resources under Scarcity
Nils Petter Gleditsch
Climate Change and Violent Conflict
Hydrological drought explained
Asymmetric Bargaining Model for Water Resource Allocation over Transboundary Rivers
Role and relevance of three enabling conditions to resolve inter-provincial water conflicts in the Indus basin within Pakistan
Adaptive capacity in federal rivers
The exigencies of transboundary water security
The future of the Nile
Climate change and International River Boundaries
Evolving together
Assessing the governance of transboundary freshwater wetlands
Assessment framework of actor strategies in international river basin management, the case of Deltarhine
How resilient is the Torres Strait Treaty (Australia and Papua New Guinea) to global change? A fisheries governance perspective
Transnational governance in mountain regions
From securitization to security complex
Assessment of transboundary river basins for potential hydro-political tensions
An innovative approach to the assessment of hydro-political risk
Legal aspects of transboundary water management
A geospatial analysis of water-related risk to international security
International Water Law and the Quest for Common Security
Climate Change, Conflict, and Cooperation
International conflict and cooperation over freshwater resources
A review of the evolution and state of transboundary freshwater treaties
Optimal water resources allocation in transboundary river basins according to hydropolitical consideration
Science–policy processes for transboundary water governance
Climate change, conflict, and cooperation
Do treaties matter? Climate change, water variability, and cooperation along transboundary river basins
Climate bones of contention
Governing an International Transboundary River
Relative Water Scarcity and Country Relations along Cross-Boundary Rivers
Fording differences? Conditions mitigating water insecurity in the Niger River Basin
Could climate change precipitate peace
Crossing the (watershed) divide
How Ostrom's design principles apply to large-scale commons
International agreement design and the moderating role of domestic bureaucratic quality
The effectiveness of treaty design in addressing water disputes
Whither the weather? Climate change and conflict
Conflict and Cooperation Over International Freshwater Resources
Stationarity Is Dead
Global pattern of trends in streamflow and water availability in a changing climate
Conflict and Cooperation on South Asia's International Rivers
Water and Power
Does precipitation and runoff variability affect treaty cooperation between states sharing international bilateral rivers
The Institutionalization of River Treaties
Third Party Mediation of International River Disputes
Peaceful Management of International River Claims
From headwater tributaries to international river
Security and climate change
Governance mechanisms to address flow variability in water treaties
Territorial Changes, 1816–1996
The Promise of Institutionalist Theory
Geospatial Indicators of Emerging Water Stress
Water Wars
Hydropolitics in the Third World
Scarcity and Cooperation along International Rivers
Conflicts over shared rivers
Conflict management of riparian disputes
Assessing side-payment and cost-sharing patterns in international water agreements
Shared rivers and interstate conflict
Climate change and conflict
A Handful of Heuristics and Some Propositions for Understanding Resilience in Social-Ecological Systems
Politics of Formalized River Cooperation
| Unique citing works | 45 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,8 |
| Citation span | 1970 - 2025 (56) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 40 |