The adverse effect of transnational and domestic terrorism on growth in Africa

Dados Bibliográficos

ID3917784
AutoresKhusrav Gaibulloev (0000-0002-9014-9532, Department of Economics, Kazakhstan Institute of Management, Economics and Strategic Research), Tod Sandler (0000-0001-9077-5915, School of Economic, Political & Policy Sciences, University of Texas at Dallas), Todd Sandler
Ano2011
Volume48
Fascículo3
Páginas355-371
Data de publicação2011-05-01
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoJournal of Peace Research (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 0022-3433 • E-ISSN: 1460-3578
EditoraSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0022343310395798
OpenAlexW2031213465
IdiomaEN
Citações recebidas38
Referências citadas30

This article investigates the adverse effects of domestic and transnational terrorism on income per capita growth for 51 African countries for 1970-2007, while accounting for cross-sectional (spatial) dependence and conflict (i.e. internal conflicts and external wars). The findings of the fixed-effects panel estimator suggest that transnational terrorism has a significant, but modest, marginal impact on income per capita growth. These results hold for two different terrorism event datasets. However, domestic terrorist events do not affect income per capita growth. Our findings differ from those in an earlier study on the impact of transnational terrorism on African growth, because we uncover a much more moderate effect. In our study, regional impacts and terrorism-conflict interactions effects are also distinguished. Moreover, our sample countries and period are more extensive. Our article contains a host of robustness checks involving macroeconomic and political variables that find virtually identical results. Alternative terrorist variables are also used, with little qualitative change in the findings. The absence of a domestic terrorism impact is surprising because there were many more domestic than transnational terrorist incidents in Africa. To promote growth, host and donor countries must direct scarce counter-terrorism resources to protect against transnational terrorism in particular. The modest impact of transnational terrorism on African growth means that developing countries' economies have been more resilient to terrorism than has been generally thought

Demographic economics · Development economics · Domestic terrorism · Economics · Panel data · Per capita · Per capita income · Political science · Politics · Sociology · Terrorism · Demography · Economic Growth and Development · Law · Natural Resources and Economic Development · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence