Peace on quicksand? Challenging the conventional wisdom about economic growth and post-conflict risks
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 3918360 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Marianne Dahl (0000-0002-0560-3850, Peace Research Institute Oslo), Bjørn Høyland (0000-0002-7406-9348, University of Oslo & Centre for the Study of Civil War, PRIO, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2012 |
| Volume | 49 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Pages | 423-429 |
| Publication date | 2012-05-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Peace Research (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-3433 • E-ISSN: 1460-3578 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/0022343312436767 |
| OpenAlex | W2021858755 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 6 |
| References cited | 12 |
In a widely cited study, Collier, Hoeffler & Söderbom show that economic growth reduces the risk of post-conflict peace collapse - particularly when the UN is present with a peace mission. These findings are encouraging for interventionist international policymakers. We replicate their study using data from the UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Database instead of the Correlates of War database. We generate a series of different datasets on the basis of different coding criteria commonly used in the literature, and rerun a simplified version of their model. Our results do not support their findings regarding the risk-reducing effect of economic growth and UN involvement. At best, the results are mixed. Some of the models even suggest that economic growth may increase the risk of post-conflict peace collapse. Overall, we are forced to conclude that the impacts of economic growth and UN involvement on the risk of post-conflict peace collapse are neither clear nor simple. The differences in the results seem to be driven by two sources: the conflicts included in the original datasets and the coding of the start and end dates of the conflicts
Armed conflict · Coding (social sciences) · Development economics · Economics · Political science · Replicate · Social science · Sociology · Health and Conflict Studies · International Development and Aid · Law · Mathematics · Politics and Conflicts in Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Middle East · Psychology
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| Unique citing works | 6 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,5 |
| Citation span | 2014 - 2024 (11) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 6 |