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Climate change and adaptive strategies in Brazil

The Economic Effects of Genetic Breeding

Bibliographic Data

ID4010933
AuthorsMarcel Viana Pires (0000-0002-4929-8608, CAPES), Dênis Antônio Da Cunha (0000-0003-4838-3795, Universidade Federal de Viçosa)
Year2014
Volume52
Issue4
Pages627-642
Publication date2014-12-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueRevista de Economia e Sociologia Rural (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0103-2003 • E-ISSN: 1806-9479
PublisherFapUNIFESP (SciELO) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1590/s0103-20032014000400001
OpenAlexW1974864558
SCIELO_PIDS0103-20032014000400001
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited35

Plant breeding through the development of seeds resistant to water stress or high temperature is an important adaptive strategy to cope climate change. In this way, by providing an analysis of adaptation to climate change using genetic breeding on Brazilian farms, this work aims to investigate how climate change will affect the adoption of genetic breeding and profitability of farmers. Temperature and rainfall projections for 2010-2099 time periods were used, considering different climate scenarios (A1B and A2), according to the 4th Assessment Report of IPCC (2007). A Treatment Effects model outlines the analytical framework in this study. Our results indicate the probability of adopting transgenic seeds will grow from 74% in the current period to 86% in 2020, 83% in 2050, and 81% in 2080. Farmers adopting this adaptation strategy will have higher profits. Land value tends to be higher in both climate scenarios in counties with cultivated areas using transgenic seeds. Farmers adopting this adaptation measure will be less exposed to adverse effects of climate change. We conclude that it is necessary to invest in adaptation strategies so that Brazil can overcome adverse effects of global climate change

Adaptation (eye) · Adaptive capacity · Biology · Business · Climate change · Economics · Effects of global warming · Environmental resource management · Geography · Global warming · Natural resource economics · Profitability index · Agricultural Innovations and Practices · Ecology · Energy and Environment Impacts · Environmental Science · Genetically Modified Organisms Research

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Unique citing works3
Citations per year0,33
Citation span2017 - 2019 (3)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 3

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