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Understanding the Mechanisms of Economic Development

Bibliographic Data

ID4030133
AuthorsAngus Deaton (0000-0002-9222-8023, Princeton University, corresponding author)
Year2010
Volume24
Issue3
Pages3-16
Publication date2010-08-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Journal of Economic Perspectives (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0895-3309 • E-ISSN: 1944-7965
PublisherAmerican Economic Association (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1257/jep.24.3.3
OpenAlexW3121473748
LanguageEN
Citations received18
References cited27

In this paper, I advocate the investigation, testing, and modification of mechanisms as a progressive empirical research strategy for the field of economic development (and other areas of applied economics). I discuss three lines of work that have elucidated mechanisms that are relevant for development: 1) connections between saving and growth; 2) the determinants of commodity prices, which are a key source of income for many developing countries; and 3) some unexpected puzzles that arise in considering the linkages between income and food consumption. In each case, my discussion illustrates the positivist approach to the hypotheticodeductive method. In this approach, mechanisms are proposed, key predictions derived and tested, and if falsified, the mechanisms are rejected or modified. If the predictions of a mechanism are confirmed, if they are sufficiently specific, and if they are hard to explain in other ways, we attach additional credence to the mechanism, albeit provisionally since later evidence may undermine it. Sometimes the falsifications can be repaired by changing supplementary assumptions, and sometimes they involve long steps backwards where the model is abandoned; and often there is disagreement about which is the correct response. But the end result is an accumulation of useful knowledge and understanding

Commodity · Credence · Developing country · Economic growth · Economics · Epistemology · Market economy · Neoclassical economics · Political science · Positive economics · Positivism · Public economics · Sociology · Computer Science · Economic theories and models · Economic Theory and Policy · Law · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact

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Unique citing works18
Citations per year1,13
Citation span2010 - 2025 (16)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 17

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