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When Sums Go Bad

Mathematical Models and Hostage Situations

Bibliographic Data

ID4087851
AuthorsA Silke (0000-0003-4792-1432, corresponding author)
Year2001
Volume13
Issue2
Pages49-66
Publication date2001-06-01
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueTerrorism and Political Violence (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0954-6553 • E-ISSN: 1556-1836
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/09546550109609680
OpenAlexW1972100665
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited3

Hostage-taking events remain one of the most common forms of international terrorism. Such events are particularly significant due to their very high media profile and the unique challenges and potentials they present to governments. Yet despite such importance, remarkably little systematic analysis of terrorist hostage-taking has taken place. This paper reviews a body of research which has attempted to model such events using mathematical principles. The guidelines which have emerged from this research are tested against three recent high-profile hostage situations. The overall finding is that the mathematical models are currently too limited to be heavily relied upon in field situations. Nevertheless, it is equally very clear that the potential exists to develop more robust models which could prove highly useful in the real world

Criminology · Political science · Terrorism · Computer Science · Global Security and Public Health · Law · Mathematics · Political Conflict and Governance · Psychology · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence

  • The Political Economy of Terrorism

    Walter Enders, Tod Sandler et al.•Choice Reviews Online•2006

  • Beyond Horror

    A Silke•Studies in Conflict and Terrorism•2003

  • The predictability of international terrorism

    G Weimann, Hans‐bernd Brosius•Terrorism•1988

  • Terrorist Success in Hostage-Taking Incidents

    Open Access•Tod Sandler, John L Scott•Journal of Conflict Resolution•1987

  • Negotiating with terrorists

    Reuben Miller, R Reuben Miller•Terrorism and Political Violence•1993

Citations per year0.09
Citation span2003 - 2006 (4)
Highly citedNo

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