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Stages of the Demographic Transition from a Child's Perspective

Family Size, Cohort Size, and Children's Resources

Bibliographic Data

ID4120747
AuthorsDavid Lam (0000-0002-1765-4532, University of Michigan), L J Marteleto (0000-0003-4234-0129, University of Michigan), Leticia Marteleto
Year2008
Volume34
Issue2
Pages225-252
Publication date2008-06-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePopulation and Development Review (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0098-7921 • E-ISSN: 1728-4457
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/j.1728-4457.2008.00218.x
PMID19122883
PMCIDPMC2546613
OpenAlexW2124684663
LanguageEN
Citations received23
References cited25

This article provides a new characterization of stages of the demographic transition from the perspective of children competing for resources within families and cohorts. In Stage 1 falling mortality increases the size of both families and birth cohorts. In Stage 2 falling fertility overtakes falling mortality to reduce family size, but population momentum causes continued growth in cohort size. In Stage 3 falling fertility overtakes population momentum to produce declining cohort size. We apply our framework to census microdata for eight countries and to United Nations population projections for a larger set of countries. The results suggest that most countries spend two to three decades in Stage 2, with declining family size offset by increasing cohort size. From the perspective of children aged 9-11, many countries enter Stage 3 between 2000 and 2010. Other countries, especially in Africa, will continue to experience increasing cohort size for several more decades

Birth rate · Census · Cohort · Demographic transition · Environmental health · Falling (accident · Family planning · Fertility · Geography · Microdata (statistics · Population · Population size · Research methodology · Sociology · Total fertility rate · Demography · Global Health Care Issues · Global Maternal and Child Health · Medicine · Poverty, Education, and Child Welfare

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Unique citing works23
Citations per year1,44
Citation span2010 - 2026 (17)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 23

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