Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

The Recent Mortality Decline in Russia

Beginning of the Cardiovascular Revolution

Bibliographic Data

ID4120890
AuthorsPavel Grigoriev (0000-0003-1419-9885, Research Scientist Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research Rostock Germany), France Meslé (0000-0001-6202-8955, Senior Researcher Institut national d'études démographiques Paris), Vladimir M Shkolnikov (0000-0003-2259-5423, Head, Laboratory of Demographic Data, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany; and Director, Center for Demographic Research, New Economic School, Moscow.), Evgeny M Andreev (0000-0002-1233-437X, New Economic School), Evgeny Andreev (Senior Researcher New Economic School Moscow), Agnieszka Fihel (0000-0002-8747-1299, Research Fellow University of Warsaw Poland), Markéta Pechholdová (Research Fellow University of Economics, Prague and Institut national d'études démographiques Paris), Jacques Vallin (0009-0002-3383-9868, Emeritus Research Fellow Institut national d'études démographiques Paris)
Year2014
Volume40
Issue1
Pages107-129
Publication date2014-03-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePopulation and Development Review (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0098-7921 • E-ISSN: 1728-4457
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/j.1728-4457.2014.00652.x
OpenAlexW1966773946
LanguageEN
Citations received41
References cited41

The health situation in Russia has often been characterized as a long-running crisis. From the 1960s until the beginning of the 2000s, the declining life expectancy trend was substantially interrupted only twice: once in the mid-1980s as a result of Gorbachev's anti-alcohol campaign, and again at the end of the 1990s as a result of the "rebound" effect following the dramatic rise in mortality associated with the acute socioeconomic crisis. In both cases, the progress made proved to be short-lived. A third mortality decline in Russia began in 2003 and is still ongoing. We investigate the components and driving forces of this new development, in particular the role played by cardiovascular diseases. Using cause-specific mortality data, we identify the main features of the recent improvements and compare these features with those observed in selected European countries, specifically France, Poland, and Estonia. Our aim is to gauge whether the features of the improvements in these countries are similar to those of the recent advancements made in Russia. Although the recent improvements in Russia have features in common with initial stages of prior mortality declines in other countries and may support optimism about the future, a return to mortality stagnation cannot be ruled out

Demographic economics · Development economics · Economic growth · Economics · Environmental health · Life expectancy · Mortality rate · Political science · Population · Sociology · Demography · Global Health Care Issues · Health disparities and outcomes · Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management · Medicine

  • Adult Mortality in Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Republics

    Open Access•France Meslé•International Encyclopedia of the…•2015

  • NCD Countdown 2030

    Open Access•James E Bennett, G A Stevens et al.•The Lancet•2018

  • The Gender Gap in Life Expectancy in Urban and Rural China, 2013–2018

    Open Access•Jinjing Wu, Samir Kc et al.•Frontiers in Public Health•2022

  • Alcohol control policies and mortality trends in Belarus

    Open Access•Pavel Grigoriev, Anastacia Bobrova•Drug and Alcohol Review•2020

  • Impact of alcohol on mortality in Eastern Europe

    Open Access•Domantas Jasilionis, David A Leon et al.•Drug and Alcohol Review•2020

  • The changing relation between alcohol and life expectancy in Russia in 1965–2017

    Open Access•Inna Danilova, Vladimir M Shkolnikov et al.•Drug and Alcohol Review•2020

  • A History of Population Health

    Open Access•J P Mackenbach•A History of Population Health•2020

  • Excess mortality in Russia and its regions compared to high income countries

    Open Access•Sergey Timonin, Ilya Klimkin et al.•SSM - Population Health•2021

  • Trends in happy life expectancy in Russia, 1994–2015

    Open Access•Yuka Minagawa•SSM - Population Health•2021

  • The temporal trend of cause-specific mortality

    Open Access•Alexander Tran, Relika Stoppel et al.•BMC Public Health•2022

  • The Emerging Crisis in American Female Longevity

    Open Access•W C Cockerham•Social Currents•2014

  • Multi-population models to handle mortality crises in forecasting mortality

    Open Access•Csaba G Tóth•Society and Economy•2021

  • Gender Gap in Life Expectancy in Russia

    Open Access•Tatiana Kossova, Elena Kossova et al.•Social Policy and Society•2019

  • Demographic trends in less and least developed countries

    Open Access•Giuseppe Gabrielli, Anna Paterno et al.•Journal of Population Research•2021

  • Urbanization and systolic/diastolic blood pressure from a gender perspective

    Open Access•Jinjing Wu, Boshen Jiao et al.•Health & Place•2022

  • Cardiovascular Mortality Gap Between the United States and Other High Life Expectancy Countries in 2000–2016

    Open Access•Enrique Acosta, Neil K Mehta et al.•The Journals of Gerontology…•2022

  • Putin’s Crackdown on Mortality

    Henry Brooke, Henry St George Brooke et al.•Problems of Post-Communism•2015

  • Politiques du secret et inefficacité politique

    Alain Blum•Revue d’études comparatives…•2017

  • Recent Mortality Trend Reversal in Russia

    Open Access•Sergey Timonin, Inna Danilova et al.•European Journal of Population /…•2017

  • The End of East–West Divergence in European Life Expectancies? An Introduction to the Special Issue

    Open Access•France Meslé, Jacques Vallin•European Journal of Population /…•2017

  • Health Convergence Between East and West Germany as Reflected in Long-Term Cause-Specific Mortality Trends

    Open Access•Pavel Grigoriev, Markéta Pechholdová•European Journal of Population /…•2017

  • Between ‘Pioneers’ of the Cardiovascular Revolution and Its ‘Late Followers’

    Open Access•Agnieszka Fihel, Markéta Pechholdová•European Journal of Population /…•2017

  • The Short-Term Effects of European Integration on Mortality Convergence

    Open Access•Rok Hrzic, Tobias Vogt et al.•European Journal of Population /…•2021

  • Changing Life Expectancy and Health Expectancy Among Russian Adults

    Open Access•Yuka Minagawa, Yuka S Minagawa•Population Research and Policy…•2018

  • A Comparative Analysis of Health Expectancy in Central Asia and Russia

    Open Access•Yuka Minagawa, Yasuhiko Saito•Population Research and Policy…•2023

  • Does a turbulent history lead to turbulent life expectancy trends? Evidence from the Baltic States

    Jacques Vallin, Domantas Jasilionis et al.•Historical Methods A Journal of…•2017

  • Why does Russia have such high cardiovascular mortality rates? Comparisons of blood-based biomarkers with Norway implicate non-ischaemic cardiac damage

    Open Access•Olena lakunchykova, Maria Averina et al.•Journal of Epidemiology and…•2020

  • New perspective on geographical mortality divide in Russia

    Open Access•Sergey Timonin, Domantas Jasilionis et al.•Journal of Epidemiology and…•2020

  • The Contribution of Educational Expansion to Trends in Life Expectancy and Lifespan Variation in England and Wales, Finland, and Italy (Turin)

    Open Access•Jesús-Daniel Zazueta-Borboa, Ugofilippo Basellini et al.•Demography•2025

  • Cause-of-Death Determinants of Lifespan Inequality

    Open Access•I Permanyer, Serena Vigezzi•Demography•2024

  • Lifespan Dispersion in Times of Life Expectancy Fluctuation

    Open Access•José Manuel Aburto, Alyson Van Raalte•Demography•2018

  • Is East-West Life Expectancy Gap Narrowing in the Enlarged European Union

    Open Access•Domantas Jasilionis, France Meslé et al.•Comparative Population Studies•2023

  • Contributions of age groups and causes of death to the sex gap in lifespan variation in Europe

    Jesús-Daniel Zazueta-Borboa, José Manuel Aburto et al.•Population Studies•2023

  • Regional inequalities in self-rated health in Russia

    Open Access•Laura Lyytikäinen, Teemu Kemppainen•Social Science & Medicine•2016

  • Where Do People Live Longer in Russia in the 21st Century? Life Expectancy across Urban and Rural areas

    Open Access•Aleksey Shchur, Vladimir M Shkolnikov et al.•Population and Development Review•2021

  • Why are well-educated Muscovites more likely to survive? Understanding the biological pathways

    Open Access•Megan A Todd, Vladimir M Shkolnikov et al.•Social Science & Medicine•2016

  • Spatial disparities in cause-specific mortality in Ukraine

    Open Access•Pavel Grigoriev, Nataliia Levchuk et al.•Population Studies•2025

  • What have we learned about mortality patterns over the past 25 years

    Open Access•Alyson Van Raalte, Alyson A Van Raalte•Population Studies•2021

  • Comparaison de survie de cohortes entre les pays d'Europe centrale et orientale et les pays à longévité élevée

    Open Access•Marília R Nepomuceno, Vladimir Canudas-Romo•Population•2019

  • Évolution de la mortalité au cours de la transition du socialisme planifié au capitalisme d'État à Shanghai

    Open Access•Jiaying Zhao, Edward Jow-Ching Tu et al.•Population•2016

  • Adult mortality patterns in the former Soviet Union's southern tier

    Open Access•Géraldine Duthé, Michel Guillot et al.•Demographic Research•2017

  • The Epidemiologic Transition

    Open Access•Abdel R Omran•Milbank Quarterly•2005

  • Changes in life expectancy in Russia in the mid-1990s

    Open Access•Vladimir Shkolnikov, Vladimir M Shkolnikov et al.•The Lancet•2001

  • Huge variation in Russian mortality rates 1984–94

    Open Access•David A Leon, LAURENT CHENET et al.•The Lancet•1997

  • Fruit and vegetable consumption and stroke

    Open Access•Feng J He, Caryl A Nowson et al.•The Lancet•2006

  • The Fourth Stage of the Epidemiologic Transition

    Jay Olshansky, S Jay Olshansky et al.•Milbank Quarterly•1986

  • The Epidemiologic Transition

    Abdel R Omran•The Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly•1971

  • Recent Mortality Trends in the U.S.S.R

    Alain Blum, Alain Monnier•Population Studies•1989

  • La révolution démographique

    Open Access•Adolphe Landry•La révolution démographique•2020

  • Getting on smokin' route 66

    Alexander V Prokhorov•Tobacco Control•1997

  • Trends in the prevalence of smoking in Russia during the transition to a market economy

    Francesca Perlman, Martin Bobak et al.•Tobacco Control•2007

  • Recent Life Expectancy Divergence in Baltic Countries

    Open Access•Domantas Jasilionis, France Meslé et al.•European Journal of Population /…•2011

  • The response of violent mortality to economic crisis in Russia

    Open Access•Natalia S Gavrilova, Victoria G Semyonova et al.•Population Research and Policy…•2000

  • Reconstructing Long-Term Series of Causes of Death

    France Meslé, Jacques Vallin•Historical Methods A Journal of…•1996

  • Prevalence of Smoking in 8 Countries of the Former Soviet Union

    Anne Gilmore, Anna Gilmore et al.•American Journal of Public Health•2004

  • The Social Determinants of the Decline of Life Expectancy in Russia and Eastern Europe

    W C Cockerham•Journal of Health and Social…•1997

  • Extending epidemiologic transition theory

    R G Rogers, Robert A Hackenberg et al.•Biodemography and Social Biology•1987

  • The health crisis in the former Soviet Union

    Open Access•Mark G Field•Social Science & Medicine•1995

  • Population Changes and the Postwar World

    Dudley Kirk•American Sociological Review•1944

  • Psychological distress, gender, and health lifestyles in Belarus, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Ukraine

    Open Access•W C Cockerham, Brian P Hinote et al.•Social Science & Medicine•2006

  • Demographic Transition Theory

    Dudley Kirk•Population Studies•1996

  • Autopsy on an Empire

    Open Access•Elizabeth Brainerd, Donald Cutler et al.•The Journal of Economic…•2005

  • Les causes de décès en France de 1925 à 1978

    Open Access•Jacques Vallin, Graziella Caselli et al.•Population•1988

  • Soviet health problems

    Open Access•Murray Feshbach•Society•1984

  • Components and possible determinants of decrease in Russian mortality in 2004-2010

    Open Access•Vladimir Shkolnikov, Vladimir M Shkolnikov et al.•Demographic Research•2013

  • The case of the Czech Republic

    Open Access•Jitka Rychtarikova•Demographic Research•2004

  • Russian mortality beyond vital statistics

    Open Access•Vladimir Shkolnikov, Vladimir M Shkolnikov et al.•Demographic Research•2004

  • Convergences and divergences in mortality

    Open Access•Jacques Vallin, France Meslé•Demographic Research•2004

  • Algorithm for decomposition of differences between aggregate demographic measures and its application to life expectancies, healthy life expectancies, parity-progression ratios and total fertility rates

    Open Access•Evgeny M Andreev, Vladimir Shkolnikov et al.•Demographic Research•2002

Unique citing works41
Citations per year3,42
Citation span2014 - 2025 (12)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 41

Tools

Open DOISci-HubOpen Access
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae