A Near Electoral Majority of Pensioners

Prospects and Policies

Bibliographic Data

ID4121542
AuthorsWarren C Sanderson (0000-0002-2205-948X, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis), Sergei Scherbov (0000-0002-0881-1073, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis)
Year2007
Volume33
Issue3
Pages543-554
Publication date2007-09-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePopulation and Development Review (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0098-7921 • E-ISSN: 1728-4457
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/j.1728-4457.2007.00184.x
OpenAlexW2091374513
LanguageEN
Citations received13
References cited15

In the first half of this century in many of today's developed countries, the proportion of voting age populations 65 years old or older will roughly double. As voting age populations age, the proportion of net contributors to national budgets (mainly through taxes) will fall and the proportion of net beneficiaries (mainly through public pension and health care benefits) will rise. By mid-century in many wealthy countries, a near majority of electorates will become net beneficiaries of government expenditures, producing unprecedented changes in their political landscapes. We analyze three aspects of this phenomenon in Germany, Japan, and the United States

Demographic economics · Development economics · Economic growth · Economic policy · Economics · Government (linguistics · Pension · Phenomenon · Political science · Politics · Voting · Global Health Care Issues · Intergenerational Family Dynamics and Caregiving · Social Policy and Reform Studies

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