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Population Projections and Demographic Knowledge in France and Great Britain in the Postwar Period

Bibliographic Data

ID4121893
AuthorsE A Marshall (0000-0001-6171-4312, Faculty Associate, Population Studies Center University of Michigan, corresponding author)
Year2015
Volume41
Issue2
Pages271-300
Publication date2015-06-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePopulation and Development Review (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0098-7921 • E-ISSN: 1728-4457
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/j.1728-4457.2015.00047.x
OpenAlexW2142434711
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited30

This study examines how official national population projections-a key mechanism for the production and dissemination of demographic knowledge-contributed to differing interpretations of population and fertility trends in France and Great Britain in the decades following World War II, despite these countries' similar fertility rates during most of this period. Projections presented different visions of the demographic future in the two countries. In France, publication of multiple variants emphasized future contingency, with low variants illustrating future population decline due to prolonged below-replacement fertility. In Britain, publication of a single variant, assuming near-replacement-level fertility rates, projected moderate growth. National population projections thus created divergent representations of the two countries' demographic futures: an ever-present threat of population decline in France, and a reassuring image of stability in Britain. Two principal mechanisms that contributed to cross-national differences in population projections-national demographic history and institutional configurations-are discussed

Birth rate · Demographic analysis · Demographic statistics · Demographic transition · Family planning · Fertility · Geography · Period (music · Population · Population growth · Population momentum · Population projection · Projections of population growth · Research methodology · Sociology · Sub-replacement fertility · Total fertility rate · Demography · French Historical and Cultural Studies · Historical Economic and Social Studies · Historical Studies on Reproduction, Gender, Health, and Societal Changes

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Unique citing works3
Citations per year0,27
Citation span2015 - 2021 (7)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 3

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