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Predicting Neighborhood Decline within a Large Central City

An Application of Discriminant Analysis

Bibliographic Data

ID4138809
AuthorsMichael S Fogarty (West Virginia University, corresponding author)
Year1977
Volume9
Issue5
Pages579-584
Publication date1977-05-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEnvironment and Planning A Economy and Space (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0308-518X • E-ISSN: 1472-3409
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1068/a090579
OpenAlexW1965663435
LanguageEN
Citations received11
References cited5

This paper investigates the use of discriminant analysis as an empirical technique for assisting the urban planner in predicting patterns of neighborhood change. A discriminant model estimated for ninety low-income census tracts within the city of Pittsburgh predicts 97% of upgrading income paths and 92% of downgrading paths over the period 1960 to 1970. Some form of the discriminant model would appear to be a useful guide to policymakers and a reasonable technique for limiting the areas of immediate policy concern

Census · Discriminant · Econometrics · Economics · Geography · Limiting · Linear discriminant analysis · Multiple discriminant analysis · Planner · Sociology · Statistics · Computer Science · Demography · Engineering · Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction · Housing Market and Economics · Mathematics · Spatial and Panel Data Analysis · Artificial Intelligence

  • How low income neighborhoods change

    Open Access•Ingrid Gould Ellen, Katherine M O’regan et al.•Regional Science and Urban…•2011

  • Location theory and spatial analysis

    Open Access•Peter A Wood, Peter Wood•Progress in Human Geography•1978

  • After poverty reduction

    Chunhui Ren•Urban Research & Practice•2019

  • The locational pattern of new manufacturing establishments

    P N O'Farrell, Robert Crouchley•Regional Studies•1979

  • The Effect of Racial and Ethnic Composition on Neighborhood Economic Change

    Hee-Jung Jun•Housing Studies•2016

  • The determinants of residential succession with renewal effects

    Open Access•Michael S Fogarty•Journal of Urban Economics•1982

  • Reversal of Fortunes? Lower-income Urban Neighbourhoods in the US in the 1990s

    Open Access•Ingrid Gould Ellen, Katherine M O’regan et al.•Urban Studies•2008

  • Are Neighbourhoods Self-stabilising? Exploring Endogenous Dynamics

    Open Access•George Galster, Jackie Cutsinger et al.•Urban Studies•2007

  • An evaluation framework for predictive models of neighbourhood change with applications to predicting residential sales in Buffalo, NY

    Open Access•Jan Voltaire Vergara, Maria Rodríguez et al.•Urban Studies•2024

  • Determinants of Neighborhood Change

    Open Access•Hee-Jung Jun•Urban Affairs Review•2013

  • The Fortunes of Poor Neighborhoods

    Open Access•George C Galster, George Galster et al.•Urban Affairs Review•2003

  • Income Distribution Theory

    R N Vaughan, M Bronfenbrenner•The Economic Journal•1972

Unique citing works11
Citations per year0,23
Citation span1978 - 2024 (47)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 11

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