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An Interactive Strategic Model of Transport Costs and Metropolitan Population Dynamics

Bibliographic Data

ID4143072
AuthorsN Varaprasad (National University of Singapore, corresponding author)
Year1980
Volume12
Issue9
Pages1009-1034
Publication date1980-09-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEnvironment and Planning A Economy and Space (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0308-518X • E-ISSN: 1472-3409
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1068/a121009
PMID12278845
OpenAlexW2009151951
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited3

This paper presents an exploratory model of the population redistribution process in metropolitan areas. A set of ten differential equations developed from logistic growth theory describes the dispersal of population from an urban area into two encompassing concentric zones. These outward flows give rise to changes in the commuting flows by mode as well as changes in the modal mix of journey-to-work trips within the urban area. The model is calibrated for Greater London and the South-East Standard Region of England between 1961 and 1976, and various possible pricing scenarios are tested to examine the population trajectories up to 1991. The results illustrate the feasibility of dynamic process-descriptive models in urban analysis, but also suggest an integrated programme of research and model-building as part of this development

Business · Economic geography · Geography · Metropolitan area · Physics · Population · Sociology · Computer Science · Demography · Transportation Planning and Optimization

  • A strategy for generating and testing models of migration and urban growth

    Michael Batty•Regional Studies•1983

Citations per year0.02
Citation span1983 - 1983 (1)
Highly citedNo

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