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Age and vote choice

Is there a conservative shift among older voters

Bibliographic Data

ID4170959
AuthorsBenny Geys (0000-0003-4524-1820, BI Norwegian Business School, corresponding author), Tom-Reiel Heggedal, Tom‐reiel Heggedal (BI Norwegian Business School), Rune J Sørensen (0000-0003-0375-7677, BI Norwegian Business School)
Year2022
Volume78
Pages102485
Publication date2022-08-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueElectoral Studies (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0261-3794 • E-ISSN: 1873-6890
PublisherElsevier BV (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1016/j.electstud.2022.102485
OpenAlexW4281968339
LanguageEN
Citations received17
References cited28

Ageing is often believed to induce a movement towards the right of the political spectrum. Yet, empirical evidence remains inconclusive due to a dearth of longitudinal datasets covering multiple cohorts. Using eleven rotating panels of the Norwegian Election Studies (1977–2017) and exploiting first-derivative properties of the vote choice function, our empirical approach identifies non-linear life-cycle effects while controlling for cohort and period effects. Our main findings indicate that shifting towards the left is more likely among the young (under 40 years) whereas shifting towards the right occurs at an older age (over 55 years). Evaluating potential mechanisms, we find that individuals' income, retirement, family status and political interest explain only a small part of the observed ageing effect. Life-cycle shifts in (some) policy preferences may play a bigger role. Finally, aging effects are similar across women and men, and only marginally stronger among groups with lower education and income levels

Ageing · Cohort · Cohort effect · Demographic economics · Economics · Empirical evidence · Norwegian · Political science · Politics · Sociology · Demography · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Gender Politics and Representation · Medicine · Social Policy and Reform Studies

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Unique citing works17
Citations per year4,25
Citation span2022 - 2026 (5)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 17

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