Application of the Theory of Self-Organized Criticality to the Investigation of Historical Processes
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 4181773 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Dmitry S Zhukov, Dm Zhukov (0000-0002-4561-2882, Tambov State University, corresponding author), Valery V Kanishchev (0000-0002-8372-4455, Tambov State University), Sergey K Lyamin (0000-0001-5357-8517, Tambov State University) |
| Year | 2016 |
| Volume | 6 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Pages | 215824401668321 |
| Publication date | 2016-10-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | SAGE Open (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 2158-2440 • E-ISSN: 2158-2440 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/2158244016683216 |
| OpenAlex | W2570411436 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 3 |
| References cited | 23 |
The article demonstrates heuristic possibilities of the theory of self-organized criticality (SOC) in the investigation of historical processes. Key SOC concepts and ideas are explained. Specifically, tools that can be used for identifying pink noise, an attribute of a critical state, are described. The results of spectral analyses of historical demographic data (i.e., birth and death rates in Russian settlements in the 19th and 20th centuries) and historical market data (i.e., grain prices in regions of Russia in the 18th, 19th, and early 20th centuries) are presented. It was found that noise color in the data series differed substantially across different periods. Based on these observations, the assumption that a change in noise color can serve as an indicator of changes in historical processes was made. In some cases, this indicator can enable one to establish the time, speed, and direction of state changes in historical processes. Pink noise was discovered in the examined birth and death rate dynamics, as well as in the dynamics of prices across periods. The described methods have the potential to be used beyond the limits of the presently considered historical subjects, including in investigations of different types of social transformation
Algorithm · Archaeology · Catastrophe theory · Criticality · Econometrics · Heuristic · Human settlement · Physics · Self-organized criticality · Statistical physics · Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis · Computer Science · History · Mathematics · Artificial Intelligence · Geology
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| Unique citing works | 3 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,5 |
| Citation span | 2020 - 2023 (4) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 3 |