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Trade Openness, Government Consumption, and Economic Growth Nexus in Saudi Arabia

ARDL Cointegration Approach

Bibliographic Data

ID4181840
AuthorsMd Saiful Islam (0000-0002-5690-5971, University of Ha'il, corresponding author), Saleh Saud Alsaif (University of Ha'il), Talal Alsaif (0000-0002-9666-2732, University of Ha'il)
Year2022
Volume12
Issue2
Publication date2022-04-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueSAGE Open (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2158-2440 • E-ISSN: 2158-2440
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/21582440221096661
OpenAlexW4280524914
LanguageEN
Citations received7
References cited35

This study intends to examine the influence of trade openness on economic growth in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia including government consumption and labor force as control variables. Using time-series yearly data from 1985 to 2019, the study applies the Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) cointegration regression and the Toda-Yamamoto (T-Y) Granger causality check to achieve the objective of the study. The ARDL model estimation discloses the positive contribution of trade openness and labor force to economic growth in the short and long run as well; government consumption causes economic growth positively in the short-run, while in the long its impact is insignificant run. The T-Y Granger causality test outcomes have demonstrated several bidirectional and unidirectional causalities. There are three feedback relations; "trade openness-economic growth," "economic growth-government consumption," and "government consumption-labor forces." Three are an equal number of unidirectional causalities; "labor forces to economic growth," "labor forces to trade openness," and "trade openness to government consumption." The outcomes have implications for the policymaker to boost the Kingdom's trade openness to benefit further from trade, rationalize its government's size to promote private sector growth to raise the latter's effective contribution to GDP, and accelerate income growth

Cointegration · Distributed lag · Econometrics · Economics · Error correction model · Granger causality · Macroeconomics · Openness to experience · Short run · Energy, Environment, Economic Growth · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Taxation and Compliance Studies

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    Open Access•Evans Yeboah•Baltic Region•2025

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    Open Access•Md Saiful Islam, Atiq Ur Rehman et al.•SAGE Open•2024

  • Trade Liberalization and Sustainable Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa

    Open Access•Gohi Lou Gore Clotilde Stephanie, Wang Wei et al.•SAGE Open•2025

  • Digital and geographical mobility

    Open Access•Umer Shahzad, Changhong Miao et al.•Environment Development and…•2025

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    Open Access•Md Saiful Islam, Atiq Ur Rehman et al.•SAGE Open•2024

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  • Is the Trade-led Growth Hypothesis Valid for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia? Evidence from an ARDL Approach

    Open Access•Md Saiful Islam•Fudan Journal of the Humanities…•2021

  • Government Size and Economic Growth

    Open Access•Sheilla Nyasha, Nicholas M Odhiambo•SAGE Open•2019

  • Ready-made garments exports earning and its contribution to economic growth in Bangladesh

    Open Access•Md Saiful Islam•GeoJournal•2020

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Citations per year2.33
Citation span2023 - 2025 (3)
Highly citedNo

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