The Future of Vascular Plant Diversity Under Four Global Scenarios
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 4238961 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Detlef P Van Vuuren (0000-0003-0398-2831, Maroc Numeric Cluster), Osvaldo E Sala (0000-0003-0142-9450, John Brown University), Henrique M Pereira (0000-0003-1043-1675, University of Lisbon) |
| Year | 2006 |
| Volume | 11 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Publication date | 2006-01-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Conservation Ecology (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1195-5449 • E-ISSN: 1708-3087 |
| Publisher | Resilience Alliance (PUBLISHER • CA) |
| DOI | 10.5751/es-01818-110225 |
| OpenAlex | W1495016602 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 11 |
| References cited | 9 |
Biodiversity is of crucial importance for ecosystem functioning and human well-being. Using quantitative projections of changes in land use and climate from the four Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA) scenarios, we project that reduction of habitat by year 2050 will result in a loss of global vascular plant diversity ranging from 7-24% relative to 1995, after populations have reached equilibrium with the reduced habitat. This range includes both the impact of different scenarios and uncertainty in the SAR relationship. Biomes projected to lose the most species are warm mixed forest, savannahs, shrub, tropical forest, and tropical woodlands. In the 2000-2050 period, land-use change contributes more on a global scale to species diversity loss than does climate change, 7-13% vs. 2-4% loss at equilibrium for different scenarios, respectively. However, after 2050, climate change will become increasingly important
Biology · Environmental resource management · Geography · Political science · Species richness · Vascular plant · Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies · Environmental Science · Forest Management and Policy · Species Distribution and Climate Change · Ecology
Global Biodiversity Change
Scenarios for Global Biodiversity in the 21st Century
Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiversity
Rewilding Abandoned Landscapes in Europe
Accelerating extinction risk from climate change
The biodiversity of species and their rates of extinction, distribution, and protection
Identifying regions vulnerable to habitat degradation under future irrigation scenarios
Scenarios of biodiversity loss in southern Africa in the 21st century
Toward An Ethics of Reciprocity
Land use efficiency through analysis of agrological capacity and ecosystem services in an industrialized region (Biscay, Spain)
Introduction
Global Environment Outlook 3
Special Paper
Climate change threats to plant diversity in Europe
Global Biodiversity Scenarios for the Year 2100
Habitat destruction and the extinction debt
Terrestrial Ecoregions of the World
The Future of Biodiversity
Evaluation of ecosystem dynamics, plant geography and terrestrial carbon cycling in the LPJ dynamic global vegetation model
Another reason for concern
| Unique citing works | 11 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,61 |
| Citation span | 2008 - 2019 (12) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 11 |