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Extrapolation of IUD continuation curves

Bibliographic Data

ID4267242
AuthorsP M Kulkarni (0009-0006-0008-8294), Robert G Potter
Year1976
Volume30
Issue2
Pages353-368
Publication date1976-07-01
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenuePopulation Studies (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0032-4728 • E-ISSN: 1477-4747
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/00324728.1976.10412740
PMID22077811
OpenAlexW2046053124
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited10

Calculation of the number of contraceptive acceptors needed to register predesignated effects on birth or growth rates presupposes that it is known for how long couples practise each contraceptive method. Life table techniques may be used to estimate proportions continuing with a given method: but most follow-up studies yield data for durations no longer than from two to three years. To estimate continuation rates for the longer durations relevant to a five-or ten-year target period, the curve of continuation must be extrapolated. Four functions, including the one most commonly used and three new ones, are compared on the basis of data from the Taichung IUD Follow-up Study that commands an effective observation period of eight years. This unusual length makes it possible to perform the experiment of pretending that observation length is only one, two, ... five years and then compare results based on these varyingly abbreviated spans with those based on the full observation period. No one of the four functions is found to be ideal under all circumstances. A strategy for choosing among the functions is suggested

Continuation · Extrapolation · Family planning · Fertility · Period (music) · Population · Research methodology · Sociology · Statistics · Computer Science · Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences · Demography · Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics · Global Maternal and Child Health · Mathematics · Medicine

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Citations per year0.03
Citation span1993 - 1993 (1)
Highly citedNo

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