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The Problem of Passive Observation

Bibliographic Data

ID4296889
AuthorsMarcel Boumans (0000-0002-8717-8148, corresponding author)
Year2010
Volume42
Issue1
Pages75-110
Publication date2010-03-01
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueHistory of Political Economy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0018-2702 • E-ISSN: 1527-1919
PublisherDuke University Press (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1215/00182702-2009-063
OpenAlexW1983637173
LanguageEN
Citations received4
References cited13

Trygve Haavelmo's methodological manifesto "The Probability Approach in Econometrics" not only laid down the paradigm for the research pursued at the Cowles Commission, but also sets out a strategy for measurement outside the laboratory. His conceptualization of "passive observation" is still very useful for understanding measurements where intervention is not possible.Haavelmo's classic is very rich: it provided the framework for introducing probabilistic methods in econometrics and a profound discussion on invariance (autonomy). These subjects are well treated by various historians of econometrics. This does not, however, apply to the problem of passive observation. It is only mentioned, if it is mentioned at all, in relation to the discussion of autonomy, but that is it.This essay will give a reconstruction of his discussion of "factual" and "potential" influences, which provided Haavelmo the framework to discuss "Nature's experiments" and will allow us to discuss measurement outside the laboratory more generally

Autonomy · Commission · Conceptualization · Data mining · Econometrics · Economics · Epistemology · Manifesto · Mathematical economics · Political science · Positive economics · Probabilistic logic · Relation (database · Sociology · Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science · Economic Theory and Institutions · Historical Economic and Social Studies · Law · Wine Industry and Tourism

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Citations per year0.27
Citation span2011 - 2025 (15)
Highly citedNo

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