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The "Social Rate of Discount" and the Political Economy of the Future in Postwar America

Bibliographic Data

ID4297782
AuthorsWilliam Deringer (Massachusetts Institute of Technology, corresponding author)
Year2025
Volume57
IssueS1
Pages175-219
Publication date2025-08-06
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueHistory of Political Economy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0018-2702 • E-ISSN: 1527-1919
PublisherDuke University Press (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1215/00182702-12134462
OpenAlexW4413007454
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited59

Recent debates about climate change policy have illuminated the quiet power of a largely obscure economic number: the discount rate used in government cost-benefit analyses. Plugged into a vast array of administrative calculations, the discount rate shapes how governments weigh present versus future across numerous domains. How did this number acquire so much power? This article reconstructs how the social rate of discount first emerged as an object of social-scientific and political concern in the 1960s U.S., propelled by debates about water infrastructure. That number surged into significance because it attracted the intellectual, ideological, and political interests of a disparate network of actors. This article examines four key nodes: the defense thinktank RAND, the Harvard Water Program, the Kennedy White House, and Senator William Proxmire. The social rate of discount offers a vivid case for investigating how "economic policy devices" (Hirschman and Berman 2014) take hold at specific political moments

Economic system · Economics · Economy · Market economy · Political economy · Political science · Politics · American Environmental and Regional History · Climate Change Policy and Economics

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year1
Citation span2026 - 2026 (1)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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