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Piero Sraffa and Counterfactuals

A View from Sraffa's Unpublished Papers in the Late 1920s

Bibliographic Data

ID4298231
AuthorsHeinz D Kurz (0000-0003-4042-6682), Neri Salvadori (0000-0002-3334-3507, University of Pisa and Accademia Nazionale dei Lincei ([email protected])), Rodolfo Signorino (0000-0002-7122-1762)
Year2025
Volume57
Issue3
Pages477-520
Publication date2025-06-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueHistory of Political Economy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0018-2702 • E-ISSN: 1527-1919
PublisherDuke University Press (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1215/00182702-11773468
OpenAlexW4407417435
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited30

This article reconstructs Sraffa's position with regard to counterfactual reasoning in the second half of the 1920s as documented by his up until now unpublished papers. While Sraffa did not use the term "counterfactual," it is precisely this concept he had in mind when examining certain non-purely-observational propositions and discussing responses to "what if?" questions. He did so with respect to different contexts, but his attention focused primarily on the marginal theory of value and distribution. At an early time he showed with regard to the latter that any simple analysis of single causation in terms of counterfactuals is difficult to sustain. Sraffa's method of inquiry can be interpreted as an instance of abductive reasoning. The article confirms Sen's interpretation that Sraffa met counterfactual reasoning with suspicion, since it might easily lead to highly misleading propositions. But Sraffa's manuscripts do not support the extreme view (not entertained by Sen) that any counterfactual reasoning ought to be rejected

Counterfactual conditional · Counterfactual thinking · Economics · Epistemology · Neoclassical economics · Art History and Market Analysis · Art, Politics, and Modernism · Art, Technology, and Culture · Philosophy

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Unique citing works2
Citations per year2
Citation span2025 - 2026 (2)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 2

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