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The Impact of Malaria Eradication on Fertility

Bibliographic Data

ID4361969
AuthorsAdrienne M Lucas, Adrienne Lucas (0000-0001-7901-0057, University of Delaware, corresponding author)
Year2013
Volume61
Issue3
Pages607-631
Publication date2013-04-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueEconomic Development and Cultural Change (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0013-0079 • E-ISSN: 1539-2988
PublisherUniversity of Chicago Press (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1086/669261
OpenAlexW2015734220
LanguageEN
Citations received22
References cited25

The malaria eradication campaign that started in Sri Lanka in the late 1940s virtually eliminated malaria transmission on the island. I use the preeradication differences in malaria endemicity within Sri Lanka to identify the effect of malaria eradication on fertility and child survival. Malaria eradication increased the number of live births through increasing age-specific fertility and causing an earlier first birth. The effect of malaria on the transition time to higher-order births is inconclusive. Malaria could directly or indirectly affect survival probabilities of live births. I exploit the particular epidemiology of malaria that causes more severe sequelae during an initial pregnancy. I find differential changes in survival probabilities by birth order that are most likely due to the direct in utero effects of malaria. The increase in population growth after malaria eradication reconciles the contradictory findings in the macroeconomic and microeconomic literatures: the increased productivity and education from malaria eradication will only appear in aggregate measures like GDP per capita after a delay because of the initial increase in the population size

Biology · Birth rate · Child mortality · Child survival · Environmental health · Family planning · Fertility · Malaria · Population · Research methodology · Total fertility rate · Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences · Demography · Global Maternal and Child Health · Immunology · Medicine · Poverty, Education, and Child Welfare

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Unique citing works22
Citations per year2
Citation span2015 - 2025 (11)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 22

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