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The Inaugural Kenneth N. Waltz Annual Lecture A World Order Without Superpowers

Decentred Globalism

Bibliographic Data

ID4444639
AuthorsBarry Buzan (0000-0002-7922-5194, London School of Economics and Political Science, corresponding author)
Year2011
Volume25
Issue1
Pages3-25
Publication date2011-03-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Relations (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0047-1178 • E-ISSN: 1741-2862
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0047117810396999
OpenAlexW2104054173
LanguageEN
Citations received35

The category of superpower, as distinct from great power, has become naturalized in the discourses about international relations. But 'superpower' has only become common usage since the end of the Second World War and in modern history cannot meaningfully be applied much further than the 19th century. This article argues that superpowers are a historically contingent phenomenon whose emergence rested on the huge inequality of power between the West and the rest of the world that developed during the 19th century. As this inequality diminishes, the most likely scenario for world politics is decentred globalism, in which there will be no superpowers, only great powers. The largest section of the article uses a framework of material and social factors to show why the US is unlikely to remain a superpower, and why China and the EU are unlikely to become superpowers. The following three sections use the same framework to look more briefly at why a world with only great powers is likely to take a more regionalized form; why this might produce a quite workable, decentralized, coexistence international society with some elements of cooperation; and what the possible downsides of a more regionalized international order might be, focusing particularly on the problem of regional hegemony. The conclusions offer five policy prescriptions for living in a decentred globalist world

China · Economic history · Economics · Globalism · Great power · Hegemony · International relations · Order (exchange) · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Power (physics) · Sociology · Superpower · Waltz · Global Peace and Security Dynamics · History · International Development and Aid · International Relations and Foreign Policy · Law

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Unique citing works35
Citations per year2.33
Citation span2011 - 2026 (16)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 35

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