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The data revolution comes to higher education

Identifying students at risk of dropout in Chile

Bibliographic Data

ID4545651
AuthorsPaul T Von Hippel (0000-0003-4498-4374, LBJ School of Public Affairs, University of Texas, Austin, Texas, USA), A Hofflinger (0000-0002-1231-9911, Universidad de La Frontera, corresponding author)
Year2021
Volume43
Issue1
Pages2-23
Publication date2021-01-02
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Higher Education Policy and Management (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1360-080X • E-ISSN: 1469-9508
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/1360080x.2020.1739800
PMID38009105
OpenAlexW3013620967
LanguageEN
Citations received20
References cited18

Enrolment in higher education has risen dramatically in Latin America, especially in Chile. Yet graduation and persistence rates remain low. One way to improve graduation and persistence is to use data and analytics to identify students at risk of dropout, target interventions, and evaluate interventions' effectiveness at improving student success. We illustrate the potential of this approach using data from eight Chilean universities. Results show that data available at matriculation are only weakly predictive of persistence, while prediction improves dramatically once data on university grades become available. Some predictors of persistence are under policy control. Financial aid predicts higher persistence, and being denied a first-choice major predicts lower persistence. Student success programmes are ineffective at some universities; they are more effective at others, but when effective they often fail to target the highest risk students. Universities should use data regularly and systematically to identify high-risk students, target them with interventions, and evaluate those interventions' effectiveness

Dropout (neural networks · Economic growth · Economics · Graduation (instrument · Higher education · Latin Americans · Mathematics education · Matriculation · Medical education · Persistence (discontinuity · Political science · Psychological intervention · Computer Science · Educational Outcomes and Influences · Engineering · Higher Education Research Studies · Medicine · Online Learning and Analytics · Psychology

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Unique citing works20
Citations per year4
Citation span2021 - 2026 (6)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 20

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