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The golden ratio in baseball

The Influence of Historical Eras on Winning Percentages in Major League Baseball

Bibliographic Data

ID4695563
AuthorsJ Cairney (0000-0003-2856-3967, The University of Queensland, corresponding author), Stephen Townsend (0000-0002-8750-0504, The University of Queensland), Denver M Y Brown (0000-0003-4078-8253, The University of Texas at San Antonio), Jeffrey D Graham (0000-0002-6728-2597, Brock University), Veronique Richard (0000-0002-0486-9606, The University of Queensland), Matthew Y W Kwan (0000-0002-9757-2771, Brock University)
Year2023
Volume5
Pages1273327-1273327
Publication date2023-11-14
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueFrontiers in Sports and Active Living (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2624-9367 • E-ISSN: 2624-9367
PublisherFrontiers Media SA (PUBLISHER • CH)
DOI10.3389/fspor.2023.1273327
PMID38033653
OpenAlexW4388672039
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited16

IntroductionThe golden section or golden ratio (61.8% or 0.618) is a mathematical phenomenon that appears in art, literature, music and nature with such ubiquity that it is thought to be a fundamental principle of aesthetic organisation. The golden ratio also manifests in sport, particularly as the proportion of wins to losses required to win a Major League Baseball championship. This study extends early work on the golden ratio in baseball by incorporating more than three decades of additional data.MethodsThis study involved a historically contextualized examination of how winning percentages have changed across the seven historical eras of modern baseball, including analyses of the relative contribution of offensive and defensive statistics to championship winning teams. Data was extracted from Baseball Reference and included statistics for 398 championship winning teams from both the American and National Leagues between 1901 and 2019. Pearson correlation coefficients were computed for winning percentage with indicators of offensive and defensive performance during each era. Main and interaction effects of Era and League on winning percentage were examined using factorial ANOVA, with follow-up analyses examining whether the golden ratio was included in each factor's 95% confidence interval.ResultsOur findings suggest that winning percentages for championship teams were closest to the golden ratio during eras where the relative contribution of offense and defense was most closely balanced: the Integration Era (1942-1960) and the Expansion Era (1961-1976).DiscussionPrevious scholarship theorizes that the golden ratio represents an aesthetic ideal or a Gestalt archetype. If this aesthetic theory is applied to sporting competition, these results suggest that baseball may be most aesthetically appealing to fans when offense and defense is balanced in such a way as to ensure that championship teams win 61.8% of their games

Advertising · Championship · Golden ratio · League · Offensive · Operations research · Political science · World championship · Forest ecology and management · Law · Mathematics · Psychology · Sports Analytics and Performance · Sports Dynamics and Biomechanics

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year1
Citation span2025 - 2025 (1)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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