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A causal loop analysis of the sustainability of integrated community case management in Rwanda

Bibliographic Data

ID4738934
AuthorsEric Sarriot (0000-0002-8889-3063), Marina Morrow (0000-0002-4648-1909), Melanie Morrow (0009-0006-3710-0613), Anne Langston, Jennifer Wei, Jennifer Weiss, Justine Landegger (0000-0002-9900-417X), Laban Tsuma
Year2015
Volume131
Pages147-155
Publication date2015-04-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueSocial Science & Medicine (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0277-9536 • E-ISSN: 1873-5347
PublisherElsevier BV (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1016/j.socscimed.2015.03.014
PMID25779620
OpenAlexW2092143914
LanguageEN
Citations received13
References cited12

Expansion of community health services in Rwanda has come with the national scale up of integrated Community Case Management (iCCM) of malaria, pneumonia and diarrhea. We used a sustainability assessment framework as part of a large-scale project evaluation to identify factors affecting iCCM sustainability (2011). We then (2012) used causal-loop analysis to identify systems determinants of iCCM sustainability from a national systems perspective. This allows us to develop three high-probability future scenarios putting the achievements of community health at risk, and to recommend mitigating strategies. Our causal loop diagram highlights both balancing and reinforcing loops of cause and effect in the national iCCM system. Financial, political and technical scenarios carry high probability for threatening the sustainability through: (1) reduction in performance-based financing resources, (2) political shocks and erosion of political commitment for community health, and (3) insufficient progress in resolving district health systems--"building blocks"--performance gaps. In a complex health system, the consequences of choices may be delayed and hard to predict precisely. Causal loop analysis and scenario mapping make explicit complex cause-and-effects relationships and high probability risks, which need to be anticipated and mitigated

Business · Causal loop diagram · Economics · Environmental economics · Public economics · Risk analysis (engineering · Sustainability · System dynamics · Child Nutrition and Water Access · Computer Science · Global Maternal and Child Health · Healthcare Systems and Reforms

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Citations per year1.3
Citation span2016 - 2023 (8)
Highly citedNo

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