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The Case for Forecast Targeting as a Monetary Policy Strategy

Bibliographic Data

ID4742597
AuthorsMichael Woodford (0000-0001-5485-5280, John Bates Clark Professor of Political Economy, Columbia University, New York City, New York., corresponding author)
Year2007
Volume21
Issue4
Pages3-24
Publication date2007-11-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Journal of Economic Perspectives (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0895-3309 • E-ISSN: 1944-7965
PublisherAmerican Economic Association (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1257/jep.21.4.3
OpenAlexW2020751753
LanguageEN
Citations received7
References cited14

At central banks around the world, including the Bank of England, Sweden's Riksbank, Norway's Norges Bank, and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, policy is conducted on the basis of "inflation-forecast targeting": the central bank constructs quantitative projections of the economy's expected future evolution based on the way in which it intends to control short-term interest rates, and public discussion of those projections plays a critical role in justifying the banks' conduct of monetary policy to the public. What accounts for the appeal of this approach? Should it be adopted more widely or more explicitly? I review the long-running debate between proponents of monetary rules and proponents of discretionary monetary policy and argue that inflation-forecast targeting represents a powerful synthesis of the two approaches. I explore some common questions that arise about inflation-forecast targeting and consider how the U.S. Federal Reserve might move toward an explicit policy of inflation-forecast targeting

Appeal · Central bank · Economics · Inflation targeting · Interest rate · Macroeconomics · Monetary economics · Monetary policy · Political science · Quantitative easing · Economic Theory and Policy · Economic, financial, and policy analysis · Law · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact

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Unique citing works7
Citations per year0,44
Citation span2010 - 2019 (10)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 7

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