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Saudi Arabia's sustainable tourism development model

New empirical insights

Bibliographic Data

ID4749595
AuthorsIswan, Iswan Iswan (0009-0006-7873-5623, corresponding author), Aqeel Khan (0000-0001-9338-9323, corresponding author), Firdaus Khairi Abdul Kadir (0000-0003-2709-8434, corresponding author), Mohd Khata Jabor (corresponding author), Siti Nisrin Mohd Ani, Siti Nisrin Mohd Anis (0000-0001-7967-4064, corresponding author), Khalid Zaman (0000-0003-3017-8435, University of Haripur, corresponding author)
Year2021
Volume71
Issue239-240
Pages109-124
Publication date2021-03-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Social Science Journal (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0020-8701 • E-ISSN: 1468-2451
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/issj.12261
OpenAlexW3135437031
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited38

The study extended the conventional Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model into the lead model, supported with a partial adjustment model and adaptive expectation model. The ARDL-LEAD modelling is applied to Saudi Arabia's tourism industry to assess the country's environmental sustainability agenda (ESA) by using monthly time series data from 1995M01-2018M12. The short-run results confirmed the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis with the lag variables, while the U-shaped relationship was found between economic growth (EG) and CO2 emissions with the leads variable. The inbound tourism and trade openness (TOP) decrease CO2 emissions at the lead factor in the short-run. The long-run relationship verified the U-shaped relationship between EG and CO2 emissions, while TOP openness increases CO2 emissions to substantiate 'pollution haven hypothesis (PHH)' in a country. The Wald Granger causality shows the different variations at the current period and forecasted estimates. The Granger estimates at the current level confirmed the growth-led emissions (GLE), tourism-led emissions (TLE), and tourism-led growth (TLG) hypotheses, while at forecast estimates, the results substantiate the TLE and emissions-led growth (ELD) hypotheses in a country

Cointegration · Distributed lag · Econometrics · Economics · Foreign direct investment · Geography · Granger causality · Kuznets Curve · Lag · Macroeconomics · Openness to experience · Political science · Short run · Structural break · Sustainability · Sustainable development · Tourism · World Development Indicators · Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies · Energy, Environment, Economic Growth · Environmental Sustainability in Business

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year0,5
Citation span2024 - 2024 (1)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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