The World's Changing Human Capital Stock
Multi-State Population Projections by Educational Attainment
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 4756979 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Wolfgang Lurz (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis), Anne Goujon (0000-0003-4125-6857, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis) |
| Year | 2001 |
| Volume | 27 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 323-339 |
| Publication date | 2001-06-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Population and Development Review (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0098-7921 • E-ISSN: 1728-4457 |
| Publisher | Wiley (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2001.00323.x |
| OpenAlex | W2012426857 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 21 |
| References cited | 16 |
This research note presents the first global population projections by educational attainment using methods of multi-state population projection. The educational composition of the population by age and sex and educational fertility differentials are estimated for 13 world regions, and alternative scenarios are presented to the year 2030. One of these scenarios assumes constant educational transition rates and the other assumes that all regions reach Northern American levels of enrollment rates by 2030. The strong momentum or, as the case may be, inertia in the transformation of the educational composition of a population, seen in the results, arises because education is mostly acquired at a young age. The sex bias in the educational composition, especially evident in some developing countries, is unlikely to disappear soon. China has made remarkable progress in improving educational enrollment and as a consequence by 2030 is expected to have more educated people of working age than Europe and Northern America together
China · Demographic economics · Economic growth · Economics · Educational attainment · Fertility · Geography · Human capital · Population · Population projection · Projections of population growth · Sociology · Stock (firearms · Demography · Economic Growth and Productivity · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Sustainable Development and Environmental Policy
Anthropogenic Drivers of Ecosystem Change
Improving the Effectiveness of Interventions to Balance Conservation and Development
Abortion incidence between 1990 and 2014
Income Distribution in Computable General Equilibrium Modeling
Fertility decline in North-Central Namibia
Fertility trends by social status
Recent developments in population projection methodology
Demographic and Human Capital Heterogeneity in Selected Provinces of Turkey
Soil salinity, household wealth and food insecurity in tropical deltas
The Past and Future of Human Capital in South-East Asia
The Demographic Window, Development, and Population Policy Implications in Mongolia
Multistate projections by level of education for Portugal, 2011–2031
Dimensions in Global Projections
Market Power and Labor Share
Evaluating Probabilistic Population Forecasts
World Population Prospects – A Long View
Urban growth in China
Modeling and Forecasting Health Expectancy
Completing the fertility transition in the developing world
Educational differentials in cohort fertility during the fertility transition in South Korea
Projection of populations by level of educational attainment, age, and sex for 120 countries for 2005-2050
Innovation and growth in the global economy
Women’s Education, Autonomy, and Reproductive Behaviour
Applied Mathematical Demography
International comparisons of educational attainment
Women's position and demographic change
Introduction of Multiregional Mathematical Demography
Educating Girls in the Third World
A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth
Applied Mathematical Demography (Statistics for Biology and Health)
Ways to Improve Population Forecasting
Demographic Dimensions in Forecasting
Population-Development-Environment
Education, Gender, and Economic Development
| Unique citing works | 21 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,91 |
| Citation span | 2003 - 2020 (18) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 19 |