Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

Divergences in trends in child and adult mortality in sub-Saharan Africa

Survey evidence on the survival of children and siblings

Bibliographic Data

ID4774423
AuthorsBruno Masquelier (0000-0002-9585-891X, UCLouvain, corresponding author), Georges Reniers (0000-0001-6582-1692, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine), Gilles Pison (0000-0001-5916-2360, Institut national d'études démographiques)
Year2014
Volume68
Issue2
Pages161-177
Publication date2014-05-04
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenuePopulation Studies (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0032-4728 • E-ISSN: 1477-4747
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/00324728.2013.856458
PMID24303913
OpenAlexW2070086625
LanguageEN
Citations received22
References cited41

This paper provides an overview of trends in mortality in children aged under 5 and adults between the ages of 15 and 60 in sub-Saharan Africa, using data on the survival of the children and siblings collected in Demographic and Health Surveys. If conspicuous stalls in the 1990s are disregarded, child mortality levels have generally declined and converged over the last 30-40 years. In contrast, adult mortality in many East and Southern African countries has increased markedly, echoing earlier increases in the incidence of HIV. In recent years, adult mortality levels have begun to decline once again in East Africa, in some instances before the large-scale expansion of antiretroviral therapy programmes. More surprising is the lack of sustained improvements in adult survival in some countries that have not experienced severe HIV epidemics. Because trends in child and adult mortality do not always evolve in tandem, we argue that model-based estimates, inferred by matching indices of child survival onto standard mortality schedules, can be very misleading

Antiretroviral therapy · Child mortality · Child survival · Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) · Incidence (geometry) · Mortality rate · Population · Sociology · Child Nutrition and Water Access · Demography · Global Maternal and Child Health · Medicine · Poverty, Education, and Child Welfare

  • Monitoring adult mortality by type of residence in the absence of death registration

    Open Access•Bruno Lankoandé•International Journal of…•2017

  • Measuring causes of adult mortality in rural northern Malawi over a decade of change

    Open Access•Judith R Glynn, Clara Calvert et al.•Global Health Action•2014

  • The epidemiological transition in Antananarivo, Madagascar

    Open Access•Bruno Masquelier, Dominique Waltisperger et al.•Global Health Action•2014

  • Measuring adult mortality from mobile phone surveys in Burkina Faso, Malawi and the Democratic Republic of the Congo

    Open Access•Kassoum Dianou, Bruno Masquelier et al.•BMJ Global Health•2025

  • UN Population Division's Methodology in Preparing Base Population for Projections

    Patrick Gerland•Asian Population Studies•2014

  • Prime-age adult mortality in sub-Saharan Africa

    Open Access•Henry V Doctor, Ifeyinwa E Udo•Journal of Population Research•2017

  • Collecting mortality data via mobile phone surveys

    Open Access•Michael Chasukwa, Augustine Choko et al.•PLOS Global Public Health•2022

  • Estimation of older adult mortality from imperfect data

    Open Access•Soumaïla Ouedraogo•Demographic Research•2020

  • The Network Survival Method for Estimating Adult Mortality

    Open Access•Dennis M Feehan, Mary Mahy et al.•Demography•2017

  • Biases in Survey Estimates of Neonatal Mortality

    Open Access•Helleringer, Stephane Helleringer et al.•Demography•2020

  • Is the mortality–fertility nexus gendered? A research note on sex differences in the impact of sibling mortality on fertility preferences

    Emily Smith-Greenaway, Ernesto Ponce Puig et al.•Population Studies•2023

  • What have we learned about mortality patterns over the past 25 years

    Open Access•Alyson Van Raalte, Alyson A Van Raalte•Population Studies•2021

  • The shifting rural-urban gap in mortality over the life course in low- and middle-income countries

    Ashira Menashe‐oren, Bruno Masquelier•Population Studies•2022

  • Estimating adult mortality based on maternal orphanhood in populations with HIV/Aids

    Open Access•Bruno Masquelier, Ian M Timaeus•Population Studies•2025

  • Tendances et inégalités de mortalité de 1990 à 2015 dans les pays à revenu faible et intermédiaire

    Open Access•Dominique Tabutin, Bruno Masquelier et al.•Population•2017

  • Taille des fratries et taille des familles dans les données d'enquêtes utilisées pour estimer la mortalité

    Open Access•Bruno Masquelier•Population•2014

  • La démographie de l'Afrique subsaharienne au XXI e siècle

    Open Access•Dominique Tabutin, Bruno Schoumaker et al.•Population•2020

  • The use of mobile phone surveys for rapid mortality monitoring

    Open Access•Dianou Kassoum, Abdramane Soura et al.•Demographic Research•2025

  • Improving old-age mortality estimation with parental survival histories in surveys

    Open Access•Bruno Masquelier, Ashira Menashe‐oren et al.•Demographic Research•2024

  • Excess mortality associated with HIV

    Open Access•Shannon Farley, Shannon M Farley et al.•Demographic Research•2024

  • The dynamic role of household structure on under-5 mortality in southern and eastern sub-Saharan Africa

    Open Access•Ashira Menashe‐oren, Ashira Menashe-Oren et al.•Demographic Research•2023

  • Estimating mortality from external causes using data from retrospective surveys

    Open Access•Gilles Pison, Bruno Masquelier et al.•Demographic Research•2018

  • Generalized Additive Models

    Simon N Wood•Generalized Additive Models•2006

  • Demography of Tropical Africa

    William Brass•Demography of Tropical Africa•1968

  • Generalized Additive Models

    Trevor Hastie, Robert Tibshirani•Statistical Science•1986

  • Population-Level HIV Declines and Behavioral Risk Avoidance in Uganda

    Open Access•Rand Stoneburner, Rand L Stoneburner et al.•Science•2004

  • Thin Plate Regression Splines

    Open Access•Simon N Wood•Journal of the Royal Statistical…•2003

  • Age-specific and sex-specific mortality in 187 countries, 1970–2010

    Open Access•Haidong Wang, Laura Dwyer-Lindgren et al.•The Lancet•2012

  • Violence and injuries in South Africa

    Open Access•Mohamed Seedat, Ashley Van Niekerk et al.•The Lancet•2009

  • Maternal mortality for 181 countries, 1980–2008

    Open Access•Margaret C Hogan, Kyle J Foreman et al.•The Lancet•2010

  • Progress towards Millennium Development Goals 4 and 5 on maternal and child mortality

    Open Access•R Lozano, Haidong Wang et al.•The Lancet•2011

  • Neonatal, postneonatal, childhood, and under-5 mortality for 187 countries, 1970–2010

    Open Access•Julie Knoll Rajaratnam, Jake R Marcus et al.•The Lancet•2010

  • Countdown to 2015 decade report (2000–10)

    Open Access•Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Mickey Chopra et al.•The Lancet•2010

  • The burden of non-communicable diseases in South Africa

    Open Access•Bongani M Mayosi, Alan J Flisher et al.•The Lancet•2009

  • Non-communicable diseases in sub-Saharan Africa

    Shona Dalal, Juan J Beunza et al.•International Journal of…•2011

  • A New Method for Deriving Global Estimates of Maternal Mortality

    John R Wilmoth, Nobuko Mizoguchi et al.•Statistics Politics and Policy•2012

  • Adult mortality in sub-Saharan Africa

    Open Access•Ian M Timaeus, Momodou Jasseh•Demography•2004

  • Marital strategies for regulating exposure to HIV

    Open Access•Georges Reniers•Demography•2008

  • Reporting Errors in Siblings’ Survival Histories and Their Impact on Adult Mortality Estimates

    Open Access•Helleringer, Stephane Helleringer et al.•Demography•2014

  • Is there evidence for behaviour change in response to Aids in rural Zimbabwe

    Open Access•Sarah Gregson, Tom Zhuwau et al.•Social Science & Medicine•1998

  • A flexible two-dimensional mortality model for use in indirect estimation

    John R Wilmoth, John Wilmoth et al.•Population Studies•2012

  • Models for the estimation of the probability of dying between birth and exact ages of early childhood

    Jeremiah M Sullivan•Population Studies•1972

  • The Level and Age Pattern of Mortality in Bandafassi (Eastern Senegal)

    Gilles Pison, A Langaney•Population Studies•1985

  • The Impact of HIV/Aids on Adult Mortality in Zimbabwe

    Open Access•Griffith Feeney•Population and Development Review•2001

  • INDEPTH Model Life Tables for Sub-Saharan Africa

    Open Access•Géraldine Duthé, Indepth Network•Population•2005

  • Adult mortality in a rural area of Senegal

    Open Access•Géraldine Duthé, Gilles Pison•Demographic Research•2008

Unique citing works22
Citations per year1,83
Citation span2014 - 2025 (12)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 19
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae