Forecasting Global HIV-Aids Dynamics
Modelling Strategies and Preliminary Simulations
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 4823971 |
|---|---|
| Authors | R W Thomas (University of Manchester, corresponding author) |
| Year | 1994 |
| Volume | 26 |
| Issue | 7 |
| Pages | 1147-1166 |
| Publication date | 1994-07-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Environment and Planning A Economy and Space (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0308-518X • E-ISSN: 1472-3409 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1068/a261147 |
| PMID | 12318904 |
| OpenAlex | W1996135073 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 5 |
| References cited | 17 |
In the light of the considerable biomathematical effort devoted to building models of the incidence of HIV and AIDS in communities, in this paper a multiregion specification is developed that includes a parsimonious cross-infection mechanism where high-risk and low-risk populations are distinguished by their promiscuity rates. The nature of this mixing is compared with some existing modelling formats, and some preliminary simulations are presented for the timing and spread of the epidemic in a sixteen-city global system
Econometrics · Economics · Management science · Physics · Statistical physics · Computer Science · COVID-19 epidemiological studies · Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models · Medicine · Psychology · Virology
Infectious Diseases of Humans
Carrier models for the simulation of Hodgkin's disease
Source region effects in epidemic disease modeling
The Slow Plague
Sauer's 'Origins and Dispersals
Geomedical Systems
Space-Time Interactions in Multiregion Disease Modelling
The Spatial Spread of the Aids Epidemic in Ohio
| Unique citing works | 5 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,17 |
| Citation span | 1996 - 2000 (5) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 5 |