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Returning to the Fight

An Empirical Analysis of Terrorist Reengagement and Recidivism

Bibliographic Data

ID4914680
AuthorsMary Beth Altier (0000-0001-9939-6022, New York University, corresponding author), Emma Leonard Boyle (0000-0003-2215-4636, La Salle University), John Horgan (0000-0002-6948-3907, Georgia State University), John G Horgan (Georgia State University)
Year2021
Volume33
Issue4
Pages836-860
Publication date2021-05-19
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueTerrorism and Political Violence (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0954-6553 • E-ISSN: 1556-1836
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/09546553.2019.1679781
OpenAlexW2984663190
LanguageEN
Citations received18

Recent interest in terrorist risk assessment and rehabilitation reveals the likelihood and risk factors for terrorist reengagement and recidivism are poorly understood. Informed by advances in criminology, this study develops a series of theoretical starting points and hypotheses. We test our hypotheses using data on 185 terrorist engagement events, drawn from eighty-seven autobiographical accounts, representing over seventy terrorist groups. We find terrorist reengagement and recidivism rates are relatively high in our sample and similar to criminal recidivism rates except in the case of collective, voluntary disengagements when an entire group chooses to disarm. We account for why we observe relatively high rates in this sample. With regard to risk factors, we find terrorists are less likely to reengage as they age. Radical beliefs and connections to associates involved in terrorism increase the likelihood of reengagement. Social achievements (marriage, children, employment) do not commonly serve as protective factors, at least in the short term, when controlling for beliefs and connections. Finally, those from an upper or middle-class childhood family are less likely to reengage

Criminology · Medical emergency · Poison control · Political science · Recidivism · Terrorism · Disaster Response and Management · Human Factors and Ergonomics · Medicine · Migration, Health and Trauma · Psychology · Social Psychology · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence

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Citations per year3
Citation span2020 - 2026 (7)
Highly citedNo

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