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Do Conditional Cash Transfers Reduce Fertility? Nationwide Evidence from Mexico

Bibliographic Data

ID4965133
AuthorsSusan W Parker (0000-0001-5622-4220, University of Maryland, College Park, corresponding author), Soomin Ryu (0000-0003-0695-414X)
Year2023
Volume49
Issue3
Pages599-616
Publication date2023-09-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePopulation and Development Review (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0098-7921 • E-ISSN: 1728-4457
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/padr.12576
OpenAlexW4383217277
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited19

Conditional cash transfer (CCT) programs, which link transfers to investment in human capital in poor families, have spread around the world over the past two decades. This paper studies the medium-term effects of Progresa, the pioneering Mexican CCT program, on fertility using nationwide vital statistics combined with administrative data on program receipt. The effects of CCTs are likely to vary by age of the woman, and we study impacts by five-year age intervals. We test and account for possible underreporting of births using indirect methods. We find that Progresa led to an important and statistically significant decline in teenage fertility and smaller, but still significant, effects on reducing the fertility of older women

Business · Cash · Cash transfers · Conditional cash transfer · Demographic economics · Developing country · Economic growth · Economics · Fertility · Geography · Human capital · Investment (military · Political science · Population · Poverty · Receipt · Sociology · Transfer (computing · Accounting · Child Nutrition and Water Access · Demography · Finance · Global Maternal and Child Health · Poverty, Education, and Child Welfare

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    Open Access•Lucas Garcez, Lucas N Garcez et al.•Journal of Economic Behavior &…•2025

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    Susan W Parker, Petra E Todd et al.•Journal of Economic Literature•2017

  • The short‐term impacts of a schooling conditional cash transfer program on the sexual behavior of young women

    Open Access•Sarah Baird, Ephraim Wadonda Chirwa et al.•Health Economics•2010

  • Cash or Condition? Evidence from a Cash Transfer Experiment

    Sarah Baird, C Mcintosh et al.•The Quarterly Journal of Economics•2011

  • Assessing the Impact of a School Subsidy Program in Mexico

    Petra E Todd, Petra Todd et al.•American Economic Review•2006

  • Legal identity for all? Gender inequality in the timing of birth registration in Mexico

    Open Access•Imke Harbers•World Development•2019

  • A healthier start

    Open Access•Tania Barham•Journal of Development Economics•2010

  • School subsidies for the poor

    Open Access•T Paul Schultz, Tanja Schultz•Journal of Development Economics•2004

  • Unintended effects of poverty programmes on childbearing in less developed countries

    G Stecklov, Paul Winters et al.•Population Studies•2007

Unique citing works1
Citations per year1
Citation span2025 - 2025 (1)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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