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Effect of Climate Change on Agricultural Productivity in Nigeria

A Co-integration Model Approach

Bibliographic Data

ID5222409
AuthorsOpeyemi Eyitayo Ayinde (0000-0003-3742-888X, Tshwane University of Technology), Mammo Muchie (0000-0003-4831-3113, Tshwane University of Technology), G B Olatunji (Deptartment of Agricultural Economics and Farm Management, University of Ilorin , Kwara State Nigeria)
Year2011
Volume35
Issue3
Pages189-194
Publication date2011-09-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Human Ecology (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0970-9274 • E-ISSN: 2456-6608
PublisherKamla Raj Enterprises (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1080/09709274.2011.11906406
OpenAlexW2341104818
LanguageEN
Citations received9
References cited4

Climatic fluctuation is putting Nigeria’s agriculture system under serious threat and stress. The study of the effect of climate change on agricultural productivity is critical given its impact in changing livelihood patterns in the country. Descriptive and co-integration analysis are the techniques used to analyze the Time series data used in this work. The finding demonstrates that the rate in agricultural productivity is persistently higher between 1981 and 1995, followed by a much lower growth rate in the 1996–2000 sub period. There was variation in the trend pattern of rainfall. Temperature was not relatively constant either. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit root revealed that agricultural productivity is not stationary and likewise the annual rainfall but became stationary after the differencing. Annual temperature on the other hand is stationary at its level. Temperature change was revealed to exert negative effect while rainfall change exerts positive effect on agricultural productivity. However previous year rainfall was negatively significant in affecting current year agricultural productivity. It is recommended that if agricultural productivity was to be increased and sustained, environmentally and agricultural sensitive technologies and innovations that can prevent climate fluctuation should be encouraged

Agricultural economics · Agricultural productivity · Agriculture · Biology · Climate change · Economic growth · Economics · Geography · Livelihood · Natural resource economics · Productivity · Climate Change Policy and Economics · Environmental Science · Market Dynamics and Volatility · Sustainable Development and Environmental Policy · Ecology

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Citations per year0.82
Citation span2015 - 2025 (11)
Highly citedNo

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