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Establishing the risk of neonatal mortality using a fuzzy predictive model

Bibliographic Data

ID5226582
AuthorsLuiz Fernando Costa Nascimento (0009-0007-6833-9544, Universidade de Taubaté), Paloma Maria Silva Rocha Rizol (0000-0001-5246-4438, Instituto Tecnológico de Aeronáutica), Luciana B Abiuzi (Instituto Tecnológico de Aeronáutica)
Year2009
Volume25
Issue9
Pages2043-2052
Publication date2009-09-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueCadernos de Saude Publica (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0102-311X • E-ISSN: 1678-4464
PublisherFapUNIFESP (SciELO) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1590/s0102-311x2009000900018
PMID19750391
OpenAlexW2167796107
SCIELO_PIDS0102-311X2009000900018
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited9

The objective of this study was to develop a fuzzy model to estimate the possibility of neonatal mortality. A computing model was built, based on the fuzziness of the following variables: newborn birth weight, gestational age at delivery, Apgar score, and previous report of stillbirth. The inference used was Mamdani's method and the output was the risk of neonatal death given as a percentage. 24 rules were created according to the inputs. The validation model used a real data file with records from a Brazilian city. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to estimate the accuracy of the model, while average risks were compared using the Student t test. MATLAB 6.5 software was used to build the model. The average risks were smaller in survivor newborn (p < 0.001). The accuracy of the model was 0.90. The higher accuracy occurred with risk below 25%, corresponding to 0.70 in respect to sensitivity, 0.98 specificity, 0.99 negative predictive value and 0.22 positive predictive value. The model showed a good accuracy, as well as a good negative predictive value and could be used in general hospitals

Adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system · Apgar score · Birth weight · Environmental health · Fuzzy control system · Fuzzy inference system · Fuzzy logic · Gestational age · Infant mortality · Neonatal mortality · Predictive value · Pregnancy · Receiver operating characteristic · Statistics · Artificial Intelligence · Child Nutrition and Water Access · Computer Science · Global Maternal and Child Health · Internal Medicine · Maternal and Neonatal Healthcare · Mathematics · Medicine

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Unique citing works3
Citations per year0,27
Citation span2015 - 2021 (7)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 3
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