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Is pertussis actually reemerging? Insights from an individual-based model

Bibliographic Data

ID5226989
AuthorsCláudia Torres Codeço (0000-0003-1174-178X, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz), Paula M Luz (0000-0001-9746-719X, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz)
Year2001
Volume17
Issue3
Pages491-500
Publication date2001-06-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueCadernos de Saude Publica (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0102-311X • E-ISSN: 1678-4464
PublisherFapUNIFESP (SciELO) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1590/s0102-311x2001000300005
PMID11395787
OpenAlexW2121250902
SCIELO_PIDS0102-311X2001000300005
LanguageEN
References cited18

In this paper, we introduce a spatially explicit, individual-based model developed to simulate the dynamics of pertussis in a small population. With this simulation approach, complex epidemic systems can be built using information on parasite population structure (strain diversity, virulence diversity, etc.), human population structure (individual risk, age structure, interaction matrices, immune response, etc.), as well as mechanisms of evolution and learning. We parameterized our model to describe pertussis in an age-structured community. Pertussis or whooping cough is an acute infection of the respiratory tract caused by Bordetella pertussis. Despite wide-scale vaccination in many countries, this disease is reemerging throughout the world in both adults and children. Emergence has been explained by many factors: wane of vaccine and natural immunity, increase of asymptomatic carriers, and/or natural selection of non-vaccine strains. Here, we model these hypotheses and analyze their potential impact on the observed increase of pertussis notification

Bacteria · Biology · Bordetella pertussis · Environmental health · Immune system · Immunization · Pertussis vaccine · Population · Vaccination · Virulence · Whooping cough · Bacterial Infections and Vaccines · Evolution and Genetic Dynamics · Genetics · Immunology · Influenza Virus Research Studies · Medicine · Virology

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  • Multilevel Statistical Models

    Open Access•Harvey Goldstein•Multilevel Statistical Models•2010

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Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo

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