World Heritage hot spots
A global model identifies the 16 natural heritage properties on the World Heritage List most at risk from climate change
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 5701226 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Jim Perry (0000-0003-3350-6094, Minnesota Department of Natural Resources, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2011 |
| Volume | 17 |
| Issue | 5 |
| Pages | 426-441 |
| Publication date | 2011-09-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | International Journal of Heritage Studies (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1352-7258 • E-ISSN: 1470-3610 |
| Publisher | Informa UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1080/13527258.2011.568064 |
| OpenAlex | W1997243714 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 13 |
| References cited | 18 |
UNESCO’s 207 natural heritage World Heritage Properties are at risk from climate change, but risk varies widely among properties. I offer a global model based on multi-model general circulation model (GCM) ensembles, vulnerability and Human Influence (HII), producing the World Heritage Vulnerability Index (WHVI), a measure of relative risk among properties. Nineteen properties are most at risk (i.e. WHVI > mean + 1 SD). Those include islands (i.e. Vallée de Mai, Aldabra, East Rennell, Teide, Laurisilva of Maderia, Isole Eloie, Pitons Management Area, Morne Trois Pitons and Galapagos Islands), coastal properties (i.e. Everglades, Desembarco del Granma, High Coast and Kvarken Archipelago, Doñana, Brazilian Atlantic Islands, Ichkeul and the Sunderbans) and mountainous properties (i.e. the Pyrenees Mont Pérdu, Nanda Devi and the Valley of Flowers, and Mount Kinabalu). Three properties (i.e. Teide, Isole Eloie and the Pitons Management Area) are geologic, apparently relatively resistant to short-term climactic changes. The remaining 16 are likely to respond to climactic changes in the next 40 years; those changes may threaten their World Heritage status. Those properties are where society could most effectively invest in adaptation. I identify adaptive strategies and next steps for proactive climate change adaptation in the 16 natural heritage properties on the World Heritage List most at risk
Archaeology · Climate change · Cultural heritage · Cultural heritage management · Environmental resource management · Geography · Industrial heritage · Natural heritage · Tourism · World heritage · Conservation Techniques and Studies · Diverse Aspects of Tourism Research · Environmental Science · History · Wildlife-Road Interactions and Conservation · Geology · Oceanography
Climate Change and the Museum
Global Climate Change and Unesco World Heritage
Mediterranean Unesco World Heritage at risk from coastal flooding and erosion due to sea-level rise
Multi-decadal shoreline change in coastal natural world heritage sites – a global assessment
The Heritage Resilience Scorecard
Tourism and sustainability at a crossroads in Shiretoko Unesco World Natural Heritage Site in Japan
A method for detecting and monitoring changes to the Okotoks Erratic – “Big Rock” provincial historic site
Analysis and simulation of the spatiotemporal evolution pattern of tourism lands at the Natural World Heritage Site Jiuzhaigou, China
Managing global heritage in the face of future climate change
The fear of losing national and institutional face
Environmental risk mapping of physical cultural heritage using an unmanned aerial remote sensing system
Contribuições da geografia para a patrimonialização da natureza no Brasil
The cadence of climate
Climate Change and Forests of the Future
Biodiversity management in the face of climate change
The Human Footprint and the Last of the Wild
Land Use Change Around Protected Areas
Natural World Heritage
A new paradigm for the identification, nomination and inscription of properties on the World Heritage List
| Unique citing works | 13 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 1 |
| Citation span | 2013 - 2025 (13) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 11 |