From gray zone to conventional warfare
The Russia-Ukraine conflict in the Black Sea
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 5724744 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Borys Kormych (0000-0001-5948-5944, National University Odesa Law Academy, corresponding author), Tetyana Malyarenko (0000-0002-5346-1180, Leibniz-Institute for East and Southeast European Studies Regensburg, Germany) |
| Year | 2023 |
| Volume | 34 |
| Issue | 7 |
| Pages | 1235-1270 |
| Publication date | 2023-10-03 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Small Wars and Insurgencies (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0959-2318 • E-ISSN: 1743-9558 |
| Publisher | Informa UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1080/09592318.2022.2122278 |
| OpenAlex | W4295038068 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 9 |
| References cited | 26 |
A gray zone conflict that emerged after the Russian annexation of Crimea was an element of the Russian strategy of establishing and consolidating a new and more favourable internationally recognized maritime order in the Black Sea, Kerch Strait, and the Sea of Azov. Empirical data shows that Russian superiority over Ukraine and inferiority vis-a-vis the West shaped a double asymmetry of its tactics of projecting power against Ukraine while avoiding confrontation with the West. Eventually, Moscow reached a point where the gray zone tactics could not secure its objectives. The Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 signalled the exhausting coercive potential of a gray zone conflict. Although, despite of transition to conventional warfare, we found continuity of ‘gray zone’ tactics of double asymmetry and denying responsibility in the Russian playbook. Hence, a possible de-escalation of the Russia – Ukraine war may likely return to a gray zone conflict
Annexation · Black sea · Economics · Economy · Exclusive economic zone · International law · Political science · Politics · Territorial integrity · Territorial waters · Economic Sanctions and International Relations · European and Russian Geopolitical Military Strategies · Law · Security, Politics, and Digital Transformation · Geology · Oceanography
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Rescaling the legal dimensions of grey zones
Russia’s thinking on new wars and its full-scale invasion of Ukraine
Resilience analysis from the perspective of global container shipping network evolution
War in the Black Sea
New Wild Fields
Maritime asymmetric warfare strategy for smaller states
Friend and Foe
Black Sea, grain, and two humanitarian corridors
Thinking clearly about China’s layered Indo-Pacific strategy
Russian Discourse on Borders and Territorial Questions – Crimea as a Watershed
International Competition Below the Threshold of War
San Remo Manual on International Law Applicable to Armed Conflicts at Sea
The public administration of territorial seas
The Evolution of Russian Political Tactics in Ukraine
The Politics of International Law in the Post-Soviet Space
When strategy is ‘hybrid’ and not ‘grey’
The Emerging Military Balance in East Asia
Coercive diplomacy and the Donbas
Deterring China in the “Gray Zone”
Columbia Journal of Transnational Law
The logic of competitive influence-seeking
Russia and ‘hybrid warfare
Hybrid, ambiguous, and non-linear? How new is Russia's 'new way of war
| Unique citing works | 9 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 3 |
| Citation span | 2023 - 2026 (4) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 8 |