Evolução do setor elétrico brasileiro no contexto econômico nacional
Uma Análise Histórica E Econométrica De Longo Prazo
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 5834758 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Bruno Gonçalves Da Silva (corresponding author) |
| Year | 2011 |
| Publication date | 2011-12-19 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | THESIS |
| Publisher | Universidade de São Paulo. Agência de Bibliotecas e Coleções Digitais (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.11606/d.86.2011.tde-12032012-091848 |
| OpenAlex | W1916177998 |
| Language | PT |
| Citations received | 1 |
| References cited | 4 |
Electricity plays a fundamental role in all parts of the world and in Brazil the importance could not be lower.With its beginnings in the country in the late nineteenth century, the power sector has gone through several periods of growth with distinct characteristics.The national economy, similarly to the electricity sector, over the same period went through phases of boom and phases of crisis.In this context, this dissertation analyzes the evolution of the economy and of the national power sector since its beginning until the year 2010 and, therefore, seeks to investigate how the increases of one were related to the other.Historical and econometric analyses are conducted for this purpose.The first is through the review of the literature relevant to the topic, where the period of study is divided into seven parts: the first is from the start of the Brazilian electrical industry and runs until the end of the First Republic (1889-1930), the second is from beginning of the Getulio Vargas government until the beginning of the military dictatorship , the third deals with the period of the dictatorship , the fourth phase studies from the beginning of the New Republic to the structuring of the electricity sector (1985)(1986)(1987)(1988)(1989)(1990)(1991)(1992)(1993)(1994), the fifth examines the period between the electricity sector restructuring and the energy crisis (1995)(1996)(1997)(1998)(1999)(2000)(2001)(2002), the sixth comes from the electricity sector reform as well as its market characteristics (2002)(2003) and finally the last part examines the contemporary electricity sector and economy (2003)(2004)(2005)(2006)(2007)(2008)(2009)(2010).In econometric analysis tests used in this dissertation, it is tested, quantitatively, the evidence of the existence of long-term relationship between the economy and energy sector through a cointegration test.Next, an additional econometric analysis is conducted where, through a structural time series model, it is estimated the demand for electricity for the next years in Brazil.With this demand projection tool, it is intended to provide background information for planning the expansion of installed capacity of electric power generation system in Brazil.Finally the validity of the econometric results is analyzed in the light of the historical context previously developed, and conclusions and limitations of this paper are presented
Democracy · Dictatorship · Economic history · Economics · Economy · Electricity · Geography · Political science · Politics · Restructuring · Economic Theory and Policy · Engineering · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
| Citations per year | 0.17 |
|---|---|
| Citation span | 2020 - 2020 (1) |
| Highly cited | No |