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Geography and Election Results

Disproportionality and Bias at the 1993-2004 Elections to the Australian House of Representatives

Bibliographic Data

ID5877376
AuthorsRon Johnston (0000-0003-3031-8573, University of Bristol, corresponding author), James Forrest (0000-0002-1103-5757, Macquarie University)
Year2009
Volume47
Issue2
Pages95-108
Publication date2009-06-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueGeographical Research (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1745-5863 • E-ISSN: 1745-5871
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/j.1745-5871.2009.00573.x
OpenAlexW2075055110
LanguageEN
Citations received4
References cited23

The Alternative Vote system used for elections to the Australian House of Representatives is generally believed to disadvantage the Australian Labor Party in contests with the Liberal and National parties. However, most analyses on which such conclusions are based over-simplify the situation by not separating out the translation of votes into seats according to whether the election outcome in a district is determined using the first-preference or two-party preferred (2PP) votes. Analyses of bias at five recent elections which recognise that separation find little bias against either party in the districts where the determination used the 2PP votes (i.e. no candidate received a majority of the first preferences), but considerable bias in those where the outcome was decided on first-preferences. Furthermore, that bias was not in one direction, but rather favoured the largest party in each of those contests. The reason for this is identified in the geography of support for the two parties, which produces the equivalent of a 'cracked gerrymander' in sufficient districts to have a significant impact on the outcome

Demographic economics · Disadvantage · Economics · General election · Geography · House of Representatives · Microeconomics · Political science · Politics · Preference · Commonwealth, Australian Politics and Federalism · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Political Systems and Governance

  • The impact of turnout on partisan bias in U.S. House elections, 1972–2018

    Open Access•Bernard Tamas, Ron Johnston et al.•Social Science Quarterly•2022

  • Electoral Disproportionality and Bias Under the Alternative Vote

    Ron Johnston, James Forrest•Australian Journal of Political…•2009

  • Geography

    Open Access•Ron Johnston, Charles Pattie•Geography Compass•2009

  • Electoral geography

    Open Access•Benjamin Forest•Geography Compass•2018

  • Seats, Votes, and the Spatial Organization of Elections

    Graham Gudgin•Seats, Votes, and the Spatial…•1980

  • Disproportionality and Bias in the Results of the 2005 General Election in Great Britain

    Ron Johnston, David Rossiter et al.•Journal of Elections Public…•2006

  • Electoral Distortion in New Zealand

    Open Access•R H Brookes•Australian Journal of Politics &…•1959

  • Under‐Representation and Electoral Prediction

    Open Access•Christopher Soper, C S Soper et al.•Australian Journal of Politics &…•1958

  • The Myth of Non-Partisan Cartography

    Open Access•Michael Chisholm, Bernard Devereux et al.•Urban Studies•1981

  • The Myth of Non-Partisan Cartography

    Open Access•Graham Gudgin, Paul J Taylor•Urban Studies•1982

  • The Myth of Non-Partisan Cartography

    Open Access•Paul J Taylor, Peter J Taylor et al.•Urban Studies•1976

  • Malapportionment”—Australian style

    Joan Rydon•Politics•1968

  • Two‐party preferred’

    Joan Rydon•Politics•1986

  • The Butler Analysis and the Cube Law

    Open Access•R H Brookes•Political Science•1953

  • The Analysis of Distorted Representation in Two-Party Single-Member Elections

    Open Access•R H Brookes•Political Science•1960

  • The Relation of Votes to Seats in Elections for the Australian House of Representatives, 1949-1954

    Open Access•Joan Rydon•Political Science•1957

  • Spatial Structure, Plurality Systems, and Electoral Bias

    Open Access•Ron Johnston, R J Johnston•Canadian Geographies /…•1976

  • Constituency delimitation and the unintentional gerrymander in Brisbane

    Open Access•Ron Johnston, R J Johnston et al.•Australian Geographical Studies•1978

  • The Decomposition of Electoral Bias in a Plurality Election

    Open Access•Graham Gudgin, Paul J Taylor•British Journal of Political…•1980

  • Measuring Electoral Bias

    Open Access•Simon Jackman•British Journal of Political…•1994

  • If it isn't a gerrymander, what is it

    Open Access•Ron Johnston•Political Geography•2002

  • Manipulating maps and winning elections

    Open Access•Ron Johnston•Political Geography•2002

  • The Effectiveness of Constituency Campaign Spending in Australian State Elections during Times of Electoral Volatility

    Open Access•James Forrest, Ron Johnston et al.•Environment and Planning A…•1999

  • Integrating and decomposing the sources of partisan bias

    Open Access•Ron Johnston, David Rossiter et al.•Electoral Studies•1999

  • Proportionality, disproportionality and electoral systems

    Open Access•Michael Gallagher•Electoral Studies•1991

  • Determinants of disproportionality and wasted votes

    Open Access•Carsten Anckar•Electoral Studies•1997

Unique citing works4
Citations per year0,24
Citation span2009 - 2022 (14)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 4

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