Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

The Spatial Patterns of the Crime Rate in London and Its Socio-Economic Influence Factors

Bibliographic Data

ID5933888
AuthorsYunqi Zhou (0000-0002-7034-9246, University of Bristol), Fengwei Wang (0000-0002-9738-2599, Tongji University, corresponding author), Shijian Zhou (0000-0003-1422-3814, Nanchang Hangkong University)
Year2023
Volume12
Issue6
Pages340
Publication date2023-06-08
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueSocial Sciences (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2076-0760 • E-ISSN: 2076-0760
PublisherMDPI AG (PUBLISHER • IT)
DOI10.3390/socsci12060340
OpenAlexW4380090191
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited39

This paper analyses the spatial trends and patterns of the crime rates in London and explores how socio-economic characteristics affect crime rates with consideration of the geographic context across London. The 2015 London Crime Statistics and Socio-economic Characteristics datasets were used. First, we investigated the spatial patterns of crime rates through exploratory spatial analysis at the ward level. In addition, both the ordinary least square (OLS) model and geographically weighted regression (GWR) model, which allow the effects of factors to vary in spatial scales, were adopted and compared to explore the potential spatially varying effect across London. The results showed that there exists obvious spatial clustering for the crime rate in central London. Both global and local Moran's I values indicated the spatial dependence of crime at the ward level. The GWR model performed better in explaining crime rates than the OLS model. Only two factors, namely, the percentage of children aged from 0 to 15 and employment rates, had significant spatial variability in London. The influences of the percentage of children aged 0 to 15 on crime rates are constantly negative over a spatial scale; however, employment rates positively affect crime rates in the north-western areas near the centre of London. Therefore, this paper focuses more on the spatial perspective, which fills the gap in traditional crime analysis, especially on the spatially varying influence of socio-economic status

Context (archaeology · Demographic economics · Econometrics · Economics · Geographically Weighted Regression · Geography · Ordinary least squares · Sociology · Spatial analysis · Spatial contextual awareness · Spatial ecology · Statistics · Crime Patterns and Interventions · Demography · Health disparities and outcomes · Mathematics · Urban Transport and Accessibility

  • How well do street view images predict crime rates in London? A comparison with social and macro-level environmental features

    Open Access•Sitong Guo, Richard Harris et al.•Computers Environment and Urban…•2026

  • Neighborhood Crime, Deprivation, and Preterm Birth

    Open Access•Lynne C Messer, Jay S Kaufman et al.•Annals of Epidemiology•2006

  • The Interpretation of Statistical Maps

    Open Access•P A P Moran•Journal of the Royal Statistical…•1948

  • Race and Criminal Violence

    Open Access•Robert J Sampson•Crime & Delinquency•1985

  • Geographical and Temporal Weighted Regression (GTWR)

    Open Access•A Stewart Fotheringham, Ricardo Crespo et al.•Geographical Analysis•2015

  • Local Forms of Spatial Analysis

    Open Access•A Stewart Fotheringham, C Brunsdon•Geographical Analysis•1999

  • Geographically Weighted Regression

    Open Access•C Brunsdon, Stewart Fotheringham et al.•The Statistician•1998

  • A Caution Regarding Rules of Thumb for Variance Inflation Factors

    Open Access•Robert M O’brien•Quality & Quantity•2007

  • The role of deprivation and alcohol availability in shaping trends in violent crime

    Open Access•Carly Lightowlers, Jose Pina-Sánchez et al.•European Journal of Criminology•2023

  • Measuring the Existence of a Link between Crime and Social Deprivation within a Metropolitan Area

    Open Access•Andrea Ciacci, Giulia Tagliafico•Revista de Estudios Andaluces•2020

  • Spatially Varying Unemployment and Crime Effects in the Long Run and Short Run

    M A Andresen, Olivia K Ha et al.•The Professional Geographer•2021

  • Ecological models of alcohol outlets and violent assaults

    Open Access•Paul J Gruenewald, Bridget Freisthler et al.•Addiction•2006

  • Handbook of Quantitative Criminology

    Open Access•Alexis Russell Piquero, Alex R Piquero et al.•Handbook of quantitative…•2009

  • Identifying the Effect of Unemployment on Crime

    Steven Raphael, Rudolf Winter‐Ebmer•The Journal of Law and Economics•2001

  • The Effect of Education on Crime

    Lance Lochner, Enrico Moretti•American Economic Review•2001

  • Using Geographically Weighted Regression to Explore Local Crime Patterns

    Open Access•Meagan Cahill, Gordon F Mulligan et al.•Social Science Computer Review•2007

  • The Determinants of Crime in Tucson, Arizona 1

    Meagan Cahill, Meagan E Cahill et al.•Urban Geography•2003

  • Neighbourhood Structures and Crime

    Mark Livingston, Aileen Kearns et al.•Housing Studies•2014

  • Associating street crime incidences with geographical environment in space using a zero-inflated negative binomial regression model

    Open Access•Liang Luo, Min Deng et al.•Cities•2022

  • Social disorganization, marriage, and reported crime

    Open Access•Jeremy R Porter, Christopher W Purser•Journal of Criminal Justice•2010

  • Burglary Victimization in England and Wales, the United States and the Netherlands

    Andromachi Tseloni•The British Journal of Criminology•2004

  • Local Indicators of Spatial Association—Lisa

    Open Access•Luc Anselin•Geographical Analysis•1995

  • Social Disorganization and Theories of Crime and Delinquency

    Open Access•Robert J Bursik•Criminology•1988

  • Community Structure and Crime

    Robert J Sampson, W Byron Groves•American Journal of Sociology•1989

  • Urban Black Violence

    Robert J Sampson•American Journal of Sociology•1987

Unique citing works1
Citations per year1
Citation span2026 - 2026 (1)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

Tools

Open DOIOpen Access
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae