Unveiling the nexus
Asymmetric impact of crime specialization in Indonesia over short- and long-run perspectives
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6005863 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Refandi Budi Deswanto (0009-0004-4848-6588, University of Indonesia), Khoirunurrofik (0000-0002-9345-0400, University of Indonesia) |
| Year | 2025 |
| Volume | 52 |
| Issue | 12 |
| Pages | 1682-1696 |
| Publication date | 2025-10-31 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | International Journal of Social Economics (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0306-8293 • E-ISSN: 1758-6712 |
| Publisher | Emerald (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1108/ijse-02-2024-0109 |
| OpenAlex | W4407558151 |
| Language | EN |
| References cited | 24 |
Purpose This study examines whether the influence of the unemployment rate on crime varies over time. It investigates if the unemployment rate positively affects the specialization of all types of crime or only a specific type of criminal act. Design/methodology/approach Using the two-way fixed effect and the least squares dummy variable (LSDV) panel data estimation technique, the study examined the long- and short-run effects of the unemployment rate on the crime rate across 462 cities/regencies in Indonesia between 2015 and 2020. Findings Long-run unemployment has a statistically significant negative impact on the specialization of violent crime and a positive effect on the specialization of property crime. Conversely, short-run unemployment negatively impacts the specialization of property crimes and positively affects the specialization of violent crimes. These results align with the tenets of routine activity theory and rational choice theory. Research limitations/implications To reduce crime and support economic growth, the government should focus on creating jobs, particularly addressing long-run unemployment, which reflects regional disparities in unemployment rates. Originality/value This study uniquely applies the location quotient (LQ) method to examine crime specialization trends in Indonesia and uses city/regency-level data to avoid bias from measurement errors at either the national or provincial level
Development economics · Economic geography · Economics · Crime Patterns and Interventions · Crime, Illicit Activities, and Governance
Spatially Varying Unemployment and Crime Effects in the Long Run and Short Run
Unemployment and Crime in US Cities During the Coronavirus Pandemic
Poverty, labor markets and trade liberalization in Indonesia
Unemployment and the specialization of criminal activity
Unemployment, business cycles, crime, and the Canadian provinces
Crime and Punishment
Unemployment and Crime Rates in the Post-World War II United States
Social Change and Crime Rate Trends
Is Indonesian Police Violence Excessive? The Dynamics of Police Shootings, 2005-2014
Rates of Crime and Unemployment
Link between unemployment and crime in the US
Unemployment and crime
The link between unemployment and crime rate fluctuations
| Highly cited | No |
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