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Introduction—The 2004 Presidential Election Forecasts

Bibliographic Data

ID6097586
AuthorsJames E Campbell (0000-0001-6901-6834, University at Buffalo, State University of New York, corresponding author)
Year2004
Volume37
Issue4
Pages733-735
Publication date2004-10-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePS Political Science & Politics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1049-0965 • E-ISSN: 1537-5935
PublisherCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1017/s1049096504045020
OpenAlexW2255812275
LanguageEN
Citations received16
References cited6

This symposium presents seven presidential election forecasting models and their predictions of the popular two-party vote in the 2004 election. The modern age of election forecasting is now into its third decade. Models have been tested quite publicly in the heat of battle—with some doing well, others not quite so well, and still others making way for new models. In this introduction, I provide a brief overview of the models, a summary of this year's forecasts, and some thoughts about how the forecasts should be judged

Battle · Geography · Political science · Politics · Presidential election · Presidential system · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law

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Unique citing works16
Citations per year0,76
Citation span2005 - 2021 (17)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 6

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