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Impact of misinformation in temporal network epidemiology

Bibliographic Data

ID6161728
AuthorsPetter Holme (0000-0003-2156-1096, Tokyo Institute of Technology, corresponding author), Luis E C Rocha (0000-0001-9046-8739, University of Greenwich)
Year2019
Volume7
Issue1
Pages52-69
Publication date2019-03-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueNetwork Science (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2050-1250 • E-ISSN: 2050-1242
PublisherCambridge University Press (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1017/nws.2018.28
OpenAlexW2962742503
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited18

We investigate the impact of misinformation about the contact structure on the ability to predict disease outbreaks. We base our study on 31 empirical temporal networks and tune the frequencies in errors in the node identities or time stamps of contacts. We find that for both these spreading scenarios, the maximal misprediction of both the outbreak size and time to extinction follows an stretched exponential convergence as a function of the error frequency. We furthermore determine the temporal-network structural factors influencing the parameters of this convergence

Complex Network Analysis Techniques · COVID-19 epidemiological studies · Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence

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Highly citedNo

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