La trasparenza e l’affidabilità dei sondaggi elettorali in Italia al tempo di internet e dei social media
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6164344 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Giovanni Di Franco (0000-0002-3159-0782, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2023 |
| Volume | 85 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 77-95 |
| Publication date | 2023-01-30 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Quaderni dell Osservatorio elettorale QOE - IJES (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 2724-4679 • E-ISSN: 0392-6753 |
| Publisher | Firenze University Press (PUBLISHER • IT) |
| DOI | 10.36253/qoe-13782 |
| OpenAlex | W4366208355 |
| Language | IT |
| References cited | 18 |
The article presents the results of a research on electoral polls disseminated by the mass media in Italy and published on the institutional website www.sondaggipoliticoelettorali.it. All the electoral polls published on the institutional website from 1 January 2017 to 9 September 2022 were analyzed. In the period considered, 1.537 polls were published. The article examines their sample size, their response rates in relation to the different interviewing techniques, and the related sampling and weighting schemes. It proposes some solutions to improve the methodological transparency of the polls and make the results provided by the various polling agencies more usable. In summary, the results of our analyzes show that in Italy the electoral polls in the 21st century are going through a difficult transition period compared to the previous century. Among the various factors that in recent years make it particularly difficult to conduct polls, the spread of new communication tool and the general spread of the internet and the increase in subjects who refuse to respond to an electoral poll take in particular importance
Advertising · Art · Business · Interview · Period (music · Political science · Polling · Sample (material · The Internet · Transparency (behavior · World Wide Web · Computer Science · Law · Misinformation and Its Impacts · Social Media and Politics
Accuracy of Pre-Election Polls for the 2006 Italian Parliamentary Election
Effects (and Defects) of the Telephone Survey in Polling Research
Response rate and measurement differences in mixed-mode surveys using mail, telephone, interactive voice response (IVR) and the Internet
Coverage Bias in Traditional Telephone Surveys of Low-Income and Young Adults
Nonresponse Rates and Nonresponse Bias in Household Surveys
Census Geocoding for Nonresponse Bias Evaluation in Telephone Surveys
Computing Response Metrics for Online Panels
Nonresponse and Mode Effects in Self- and Interviewer-Administered Surveys
Theory and Practice in Nonprobability Surveys
Is There a Future for Surveys
The Future of Survey Sampling
The Role of Topic Interest in Survey Participation Decisions
Are Political Markets Really Superior to Polls as Election Predictors
Apples to Oranges or Gala versus Golden Delicious
Total Survey Error
Total Survey Error
The Effect of Framing and Placement on Linkage Consent
Advantages and Disadvantages of Internet Research Surveys
| Highly cited | No |
|---|