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What Goes Up Might Not Come Down

Modeling Directional Asymmetry with Large-N, Large-T Data

Bibliographic Data

ID6169941
AuthorsR P Thombs (0000-0002-8823-6143, Boston College, Chestnut Hill, MA, USA, corresponding author), Xiaorui Huang (0000-0002-3823-0253, Boston College, Chestnut Hill, MA, USA), Jared Berry Fitzgerald (0000-0003-1755-6323, Boston College, Chestnut Hill, MA, USA)
Year2021
Volume52
Issue1
Pages1-29
Publication date2021-09-28
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueSociological Methodology (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0081-1750 • E-ISSN: 1467-9531
PublisherSAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/00811750211046307
OpenAlexW3203115475
LanguageEN
Citations received13
References cited61

Modeling asymmetric relationships is an emerging subject of interest among sociologists. York and Light advanced a method to estimate asymmetric models with panel data, which was further developed by Allison. However, little attention has been given to the large- N, large- T case, wherein autoregression, slope heterogeneity, and cross-sectional dependence are important issues to consider. The authors fill this gap by conducting Monte Carlo experiments comparing the bias and power of the fixed-effects estimator to a set of heterogeneous panel estimators. The authors find that dynamic misspecification can produce substantial biases in the coefficients. Furthermore, even when the dynamics are correctly specified, the fixed-effects estimator will produce inconsistent and unstable estimates of the long-run effects in the presence of slope heterogeneity. The authors demonstrate these findings by testing for directional asymmetry in the economic development–CO 2 emissions relationship, a key question in macro sociology, using data for 66 countries from 1971 to 2015. The authors conclude with a set of methodological recommendations on modeling directional asymmetry

Asymmetry · Autoregressive model · Data set · Econometrics · Economics · Estimator · Explanatory power · Macro · Monte Carlo method · Panel data · Physics · Set (abstract data type · Statistics · Climate Change Policy and Economics · Computer Science · Energy, Environment, Economic Growth · Mathematics · Spatial and Panel Data Analysis

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Unique citing works13
Citations per year3,25
Citation span2022 - 2026 (5)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 13

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