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Getting to Yes

Explaining State Referendum Success and What (If Anything) the Commonwealth Can Learn from It

Bibliographic Data

ID6174028
AuthorsPaul Kildea (0000-0003-3446-0438, corresponding author)
Year2025
Volume48
Issue1
Publication date2025-04-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueUniversity of New South Wales Law Journal (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0313-0096 • E-ISSN: 1839-2881
PublisherUniversity of New South Wales Law Journal (PUBLISHER • AU)
DOI10.53637/vlfa2607
OpenAlexW4409452702
LanguageEN

This article provides the first detailed account of the results of state constitutional referendums and asks why the success rate of state referendums (75%) is so much higher than that of Commonwealth referendums (18%). It finds that state referendums have typically involved uncontentious proposals for institutional reform. Bipartisanship, timing, and the willingness of voters to follow party cues in low-key campaign environments have aided success. The disparity in state/Commonwealth success rates is due partly to state practice, including care in issue selection and consensus-building. However, state polls also occur in an institutional context that is more conducive to referendum success. Federalism, rigidity and a high public profile mean that Commonwealth referendum proposals are more likely to affect multiple interests, attract scrutiny, generate strong opposition and prompt fears about irreversible change. The state experience therefore expands our understanding of referendum outcomes but does not provide a blueprint for federal referendum success

Commonwealth · Political science · Politics · Project commissioning · Publishing · Referendum · State (computer science · Commonwealth, Australian Politics and Federalism · Computer Science · Law · Political Systems and Governance

Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo

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